MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1843
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0235 PM CDT WED AUG 03 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TX PANHANDLE...CNTRL/NRN OK...SRN KS...WRN/NRN
   AR...SWRN MO
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 031935Z - 032100Z
   
   CORRECTED FOR WRN AR INSTEAD OF ERN AR
   
   ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON
   ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ERN TX PANHANDLE...CNTRL/NRN OK...SRN
   KS...WRN/NRN AR AND SWRN MO. ORGANIZED SVR STORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
   ANTICIPATED...WW IS UNLIKELY.
   
   SURFACE ANALYSIS AT 19Z SHOWED A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED
   OVER CNTRL/NERN OK...WITH COLD FRONT BISECTING THE LOW...EXTENDING
   SWWD INTO SWRN OK/NWRN TX...AND EWD ALONG THE AR/MO BORDER. VERY HOT
   SURFACE TEMPERATURES EXIST ALONG AND S OF THE FRONT...RANGING FROM
   100-113 ACROSS MUCH OF OK AND AR. MEANWHILE...VERY MOIST POST
   FRONTAL CONDITIONS EXIST ALONG AND N OF THE BOUNDARY...WITH
   DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S AND 70S. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
   INDICATES DEEPENING CU FIELD IS DEVELOPING WITHIN THE HOT/WELL MIXED
   BOUNDARY LAYER AIRMASS LOCATED FROM CNTRL OK E INTO CNTRL AR. AS THE
   CUMULUS CONTINUES TO ADVANCE TOWARD DEEPER BOUNDARY LAYER
   MOISTURE...THUNDERSTORM INITIATION WILL LIKELY TAKE PLACE. GIVEN THE
   HOT SURFACE AIRMASS AND LARGE BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT
   SPREADS...ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
   
   ..GARNER.. 08/03/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...
   
   LAT...LON   34659952 35220134 36720061 37519890 37329460 36479203
               35489166 34419323 34579439 35139585 35009762 34659952