MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1660
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0208 AM CDT TUE JUL 19 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN ND INTO NWRN MN
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 190708Z - 190915Z
   
   STORMS SHOULD GENERALLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE TONIGHT FROM ERN ND
   INTO NWRN MN...WITH HAIL THE MOST LIKELY THREAT. A FEW STRONG WIND
   GUSTS MAY OCCUR...AND A WATCH WOULD PROBABLY ONLY BE NECESSARY IF
   STRONG CLUSTERING OCCURS WITH A SUSTAINED COLD POOL.
   
   A FEW CELLS ARE NOW FORMING OVER SERN ND...N OF THE SURFACE WARM
   FRONT AND IN A ZONE OF MODERATE THETA-E ADVECTION AROUND 850 MB.
   WITH AMPLE MOISTURE IN PLACE...AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE IS
   LIKELY...POSSIBLY SHIFTING NEWD WITH TIME BUT WITH INDIVIDUAL CELLS
   TRAVELING E/SEWD.
   
   ASIDE FROM VEERING IN THE LOW LEVELS WITH HEIGHT...WINDS ALOFT ARE
   NOT VERY IMPRESSIVE WITH WEAKNESSES NOTED IN THE HODOGRAPHS.
   THEREFORE...A WIDESPREAD SEVERE EVENT APPEARS UNLIKELY...BUT TRENDS
   WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 07/19/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...BIS...
   
   LAT...LON   46419645 46849754 47079859 47559933 48229906 48339794
               48009667 47199475 46699440 46219465 46089538 46149564
               46419645