MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1317
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1146 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KY...WRN WV/VA...ERN TN...PORTIONS OF NC
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 201646Z - 201745Z
   
   THREAT OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE
   OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THREAT OF DMGG WINDS MAY INCREASE LATER
   THIS AFTERNOON FARTHER DOWNSTREAM OVER WRN VA...ERN TN...AND
   PORTIONS OF NC.
   
   TWO BOWING SEGMENTS ARE BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED ACROSS SRN OH/ERN
   KY...GRADUALLY PROGRESSING SEWD AMIDST MODEST WNWLY FLOW...WITH A
   MAINTENANCE OF 6.5 TO 7 C/KM MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES PER 12Z AREA
   SOUNDINGS LIKELY. ALTHOUGH THIS WILL SUPPORT SOME ORGANIZATION...THE
   BOWING SEGMENTS CONTINUE TO PROGRESS OVER RAIN COOLED LOW
   LEVELS...AND LIKELY REMAIN ELEVATED AT THIS TIME. MARGINALLY SEVERE
   HAIL MAY BE POSSIBLE IN STRONGER CORES...BUT IT APPEARS THAT A
   SUFFICIENT WIND THREAT MAY NOT BE SUPPORTED IN THE IMMEDIATE FUTURE
   UNTIL SURFACE-BASED DESTABILIZATION CAN OCCUR DOWNSTREAM LATER THIS
   AFTERNOON...MORE LIKELY ACROSS WRN VA...ERN TN...AND PORTIONS OF NC.
   HOWEVER...TRAINING CELLS WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED HEAVY RAIN THREAT.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 06/20/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...
   
   LAT...LON   38988359 38228245 36898134 35858112 35578153 36048267
               37288360 38438430 38988359