MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1146
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0144 AM CDT THU JUN 09 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NEB INTO IA AND NRN IL
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 090644Z - 090845Z
   
   STORMS SHOULD PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WITH A HAIL THREAT.
   
   STORMS CONTINUE TO EVOLVE WELL N OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT IN A ZONE
   OF WARM/MOIST ADVECTION ALOFT. STORM CORES HAVE SHOWN SIGNS OF LOW
   END SEVERE HAIL AT TIMES. ALTHOUGH DISORGANIZED CURRENTLY...DEEP
   LAYER SHEAR AROUND 45 KT IS SUFFICIENT TO ENHANCE ORGANIZATION AND
   INCREASE STORM LONGEVITY. IN ADDITION...ELEVATED MOISTURE FEED IS
   FORECAST TO INCREASE. THEREFORE...A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONGER
   AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES. A WATCH WOULD ONLY BECOME NEEDED IF BETTER
   ORGANIZATION WAS TO OCCUR.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/09/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...DVN...DMX...EAX...OAX...GID...
   
   LAT...LON   40079795 40229835 40539847 40939818 41389768 42039551
               42459142 42459002 42278914 41828851 41068851 40878897
               40599294 40079795