MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0369
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1055 PM CDT THU APR 07 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...EAST-CENTRAL KS INTO FAR WESTERN MO
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 080355Z - 080530Z
   
   AN ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL THREAT WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE
   EVENING/EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL KS...INCLUDING THE
   EMPORIA AREA AND IN VICINITY OF THE FLINT HILLS/I-35. THE SEVERE
   THREAT MAY CONTINUE INTO FAR WESTERN MO AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   
   WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REFLECTS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSING KS...WITH
   LOW LEVEL MOISTURE/PRECIPITABLE WATER HAVING INCREASED EARLY THIS
   EVENING VIA A RETREATING DRY LINE. ON THE EDGE OF THE CAP AND
   ROUGHLY WEST-EAST FRONTAL ZONE...TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY INCREASED
   ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL/EAST-CENTRAL KS. AIDED BY A NOCTURNALLY
   STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET PER WSR-88D VWPS/REGIONAL
   PROFILERS...INFLUX OF ELEVATED MOISTURE ATOP A STABLE NEAR-SURFACE
   LAYER...WILL SUPPORT AN ISOLATED ELEVATED SUPERCELL THREAT IN THE
   PRESENCE OF RATHER STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES/FAVORABLE VERTICAL
   SHEAR.
   
   ..GUYER.. 04/08/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...
   
   LAT...LON   38059685 38879666 39149380 38019389 38059685