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Mesoscale Discussion 80
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0080
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1047 PM CST TUE FEB 01 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS EXTREME SERN AL...SWRN/S-CENTRAL GA...FL
   PANHANDLE...EXTREME NWRN FL.
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 11...
   
   VALID 020447Z - 020615Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 11 CONTINUES.
   
   REMAINDER WW MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 05Z.
   
   SFC MESOANALYSIS SHOWS WARM FRONT ABOUT 40 NM OFFSHORE SC COAST SWWD
   ACROSS OKEFENOKEE SWAMP...THEN NWWD BETWEEN VLD-AMG AND JUST N
   ABY...BECOMING DIFFUSE UNDER PRECIP SHIELD THAT DENOTES REMNANTS OF
   NRN PORTION OF CONVECTIVE PLUME.  MODIFIED RUC SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
   POCKETS OF RELATIVELY MINIMIZED MLCINH  -- I.E. AROUND 50 J/KG --
   ARE POSSIBLE OVER SRN GA SURROUNDED BY MUCH STRONGER CINH N OF WARM
   FRONT AND ASSOCIATED WITH NERN GULF MARINE LAYER.  VERTICAL SHEAR
   WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE ACROSS THIS REGION...HOWEVER BUOYANCY
   CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE LIMITED SPATIALLY AND IN MAGNITUDE...WITH
   MLCAPE AROUND 250 J/KG IN NARROW CORRIDOR AHEAD OF LINE IN CENTRAL
   PANHANDLE OF FL....AND DIMINISHING NWD.  WHILE SVR THREAT -- IN FORM
   OF ISOLATED DAMAGING GUST OR TORNADO -- IS NON-ZERO OVER REMAINDER
   WW AREA AND EWD ACROSS PORTIONS SRN GA S OF WARM FRONT...POTENTIAL
   CONTINUES TO DECREASE GRADUALLY AS SRN PORTION OF PRIMARY SQUALL
   LINE MOVES INTO PROGRESSIVELY HIGHER-MLCINH BOUNDARY-LAYER AIR MASS.
   
   ..EDWARDS.. 02/02/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...JAX...FFC...TAE...
   
   LAT...LON   30378609 31008557 31428531 31838470 32218366 31878309
               30538266 29658342 30088400 29588498 29688516 29648538
               29918546 30058558 30248590 30378609 
   
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