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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on May 6, 2024
Updated: Mon May 6 22:00:08 UTC 2024  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: On February 23, 2021 the Probabilistic Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlooks became operational. Please see the Service Change Notice 20-115 for more details.
Categorical D3-8 FW Otlk D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
 Pop.  Cities  CWAs  RFCs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA  Tribal

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
D3 35,185 1,174,506 El Paso, TX...Las Cruces, NM...Alamogordo, NM...Socorro, TX...Carlsbad, NM...
D3Wed, May 08, 2024 - Thu, May 09, 2024 D6Sat, May 11, 2024 - Sun, May 12, 2024
D4Thu, May 09, 2024 - Fri, May 10, 2024 D7Sun, May 12, 2024 - Mon, May 13, 2024
D5Fri, May 10, 2024 - Sat, May 11, 2024 D8Mon, May 13, 2024 - Tue, May 14, 2024
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 062156

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0456 PM CDT Mon May 06 2024

   Valid 081200Z - 141200Z

   Critical fire weather conditions will persist on D3/Wednesday, as a
   westerly downslope flow regime continues over the central/southern
   High Plains. A continental air mass overspreads the central/southern
   Plains beyond D3/Wednesday, which will limit fire weather concerns
   in the extended. Elsewhere across the country, widespread
   precipitation chances and/or recent rainfall will limit fire weather
   concerns. 

   ...D3/Wednesday - Southern High Plains...
   On D3/Wednesday, a cold front will move southward into the
   south-central Plains. Westerly winds sustained around 15-25 mph and
   relative humidity in the single digits to teens will overlap dry
   fuels in southern New Mexico, where surface pressure gradients are
   the strongest. 40-70% probabilities were maintained with this
   outlook to cover this potential for Critical fire weather
   conditions.

   Beyond D3/Wednesday, a cooler continental air mass will continue to
   push into the southern Plains with weakening zonal flow aloft. Areas
   of dry/breezy conditions are possible, but will likely be confined
   to eastern AZ/southwest NM. Rain chances are forecast to increase
   towards the end of the work week across the Four Corners/southern
   High Plains, which should further limit fire potential.

   ..Thornton.. 05/06/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: May 06, 2024
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