Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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| D3 | Wed, May 08, 2024 - Thu, May 09, 2024 | D6 | Sat, May 11, 2024 - Sun, May 12, 2024 |
| D4 | Thu, May 09, 2024 - Fri, May 10, 2024 | D7 | Sun, May 12, 2024 - Mon, May 13, 2024 |
| D5 | Fri, May 10, 2024 - Sat, May 11, 2024 | D8 | Mon, May 13, 2024 - Tue, May 14, 2024 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 062156 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0456 PM CDT Mon May 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z Critical fire weather conditions will persist on D3/Wednesday, as a westerly downslope flow regime continues over the central/southern High Plains. A continental air mass overspreads the central/southern Plains beyond D3/Wednesday, which will limit fire weather concerns in the extended. Elsewhere across the country, widespread precipitation chances and/or recent rainfall will limit fire weather concerns. ...D3/Wednesday - Southern High Plains... On D3/Wednesday, a cold front will move southward into the south-central Plains. Westerly winds sustained around 15-25 mph and relative humidity in the single digits to teens will overlap dry fuels in southern New Mexico, where surface pressure gradients are the strongest. 40-70% probabilities were maintained with this outlook to cover this potential for Critical fire weather conditions. Beyond D3/Wednesday, a cooler continental air mass will continue to push into the southern Plains with weakening zonal flow aloft. Areas of dry/breezy conditions are possible, but will likely be confined to eastern AZ/southwest NM. Rain chances are forecast to increase towards the end of the work week across the Four Corners/southern High Plains, which should further limit fire potential. ..Thornton.. 05/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT