Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 505
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1255 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Indiana
Northern and Central Kentucky
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 1255 PM
until 700 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms should strengthen further this
afternoon as it moves eastward while posing a threat for scattered
severe/damaging winds up to 55-70 mph. A brief tornado or two
embedded within the line may also occur.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles west southwest
of Louisville KY to 80 miles east of Lexington KY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 505 SEVERE TSTM IN KY 041655Z - 042300Z
AXIS..35 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
50WSW SDF/LOUISVILLE KY/ - 80E LEX/LEXINGTON KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 30NM N/S /49WSW IIU - 68SW HNN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 38418658 38538313 37508313 37398658
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 505 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 505
VALID 042020Z - 042140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E OWB TO
35 SE SDF TO 10 NE LEX TO 45 NE LEX TO 15 NW HTS.
..MOORE..07/04/24
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 505
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-017-021-025-043-049-063-065-067-079-085-093-109-113-123-
129-151-153-155-165-167-173-175-181-189-197-205-229-237-
042140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BOURBON BOYLE
BREATHITT CARTER CLARK
ELLIOTT ESTILL FAYETTE
GARRARD GRAYSON HARDIN
JACKSON JESSAMINE LARUE
LEE MADISON MAGOFFIN
MARION MENIFEE MERCER
MONTGOMERY MORGAN NICHOLAS
OWSLEY POWELL ROWAN
WASHINGTON WOLFE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 505
VALID 041915Z - 042040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E OWB TO
20 SSE SDF TO 35 ESE LUK.
..MOORE..07/04/24
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 505
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC005-011-017-021-023-025-049-063-065-067-069-073-079-085-093-
097-109-113-123-129-135-151-153-155-161-165-167-173-175-179-181-
189-197-201-205-209-215-229-237-239-042040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BATH BOURBON
BOYLE BRACKEN BREATHITT
CLARK ELLIOTT ESTILL
FAYETTE FLEMING FRANKLIN
GARRARD GRAYSON HARDIN
HARRISON JACKSON JESSAMINE
LARUE LEE LEWIS
MADISON MAGOFFIN MARION
MASON MENIFEE MERCER
MONTGOMERY MORGAN NELSON
NICHOLAS OWSLEY POWELL
ROBERTSON ROWAN SCOTT
SPENCER WASHINGTON WOLFE
WOODFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 505
VALID 041835Z - 041940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E OWB TO
35 SW SDF TO 10 E SDF TO 15 W LUK.
..MOORE..07/04/24
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 505
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC005-011-017-021-023-025-029-049-063-065-067-069-073-077-079-
081-085-093-097-103-109-113-123-129-135-151-153-155-161-165-167-
173-175-179-181-183-185-187-189-191-197-201-205-209-211-215-229-
237-239-041940-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BATH BOURBON
BOYLE BRACKEN BREATHITT
BULLITT CLARK ELLIOTT
ESTILL FAYETTE FLEMING
FRANKLIN GALLATIN GARRARD
GRANT GRAYSON HARDIN
HARRISON HENRY JACKSON
JESSAMINE LARUE LEE
LEWIS MADISON MAGOFFIN
MARION MASON MENIFEE
MERCER MONTGOMERY MORGAN
NELSON NICHOLAS OHIO
OLDHAM OWEN OWSLEY
PENDLETON POWELL ROBERTSON
ROWAN SCOTT SHELBY
SPENCER WASHINGTON WOLFE
WOODFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 505
VALID 041800Z - 041940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE OWB TO
10 W SDF TO 25 WSW LUK.
..MOORE..07/04/24
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 505
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC005-011-017-021-023-025-027-029-041-049-063-065-067-069-073-
077-079-081-085-093-097-103-109-111-113-123-129-135-151-153-155-
161-163-165-167-173-175-179-181-183-185-187-189-191-197-201-205-
209-211-215-223-229-237-239-041940-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BATH BOURBON
BOYLE BRACKEN BREATHITT
BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT CARROLL
CLARK ELLIOTT ESTILL
FAYETTE FLEMING FRANKLIN
GALLATIN GARRARD GRANT
GRAYSON HARDIN HARRISON
HENRY JACKSON JEFFERSON
JESSAMINE LARUE LEE
LEWIS MADISON MAGOFFIN
MARION MASON MEADE
MENIFEE MERCER MONTGOMERY
MORGAN NELSON NICHOLAS
OHIO OLDHAM OWEN
OWSLEY PENDLETON POWELL
ROBERTSON ROWAN SCOTT
SHELBY SPENCER TRIMBLE
WASHINGTON WOLFE WOODFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.