Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 433
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
125 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Minnesota
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 125 PM until
800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms developing along and ahead of a cold front
should pose a threat for a few tornadoes, damaging winds up to 60-70
mph, and large hail around 1-2 inches in diameter as they spread
east-northeastward this afternoon and early evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles northwest of Ely MN to 30
miles east southeast of Worthington MN. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.
...Gleason
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 433
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
125 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Minnesota
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 125 PM until
800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms developing along and ahead of a cold front
should pose a threat for a few tornadoes, damaging winds up to 60-70
mph, and large hail around 1-2 inches in diameter as they spread
east-northeastward this afternoon and early evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles northwest of Ely MN to 30
miles east southeast of Worthington MN. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 433 TORNADO MN 181825Z - 190100Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50NW ELO/ELY MN/ - 30ESE OTG/WORTHINGTON MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /32ESE INL - 59S RWF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 48409122 43489373 43489632 48409406
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 433 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 433
VALID 190035Z - 190140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW OTG TO
20 E RWF TO 15 NE STC TO 40 W DLH TO 20 NNW BFW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1329
..THORNTON..06/19/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 433
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC003-013-015-017-019-025-033-037-043-047-053-059-063-065-079-
085-091-095-103-115-123-131-139-141-143-147-161-163-165-171-
190140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BLUE EARTH BROWN
CARLTON CARVER CHISAGO
COTTONWOOD DAKOTA FARIBAULT
FREEBORN HENNEPIN ISANTI
JACKSON KANABEC LE SUEUR
MCLEOD MARTIN MILLE LACS
NICOLLET PINE RAMSEY
RICE SCOTT SHERBURNE
SIBLEY STEELE WASECA
WASHINGTON WATONWAN WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 433
VALID 190005Z - 190140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW FSD
TO 25 ENE RWF TO 25 SSW BRD TO 30 N BFW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1329
..THORNTON..06/19/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 433
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-003-009-013-015-017-019-025-031-033-037-043-047-053-059-
063-065-079-085-091-093-095-103-115-123-131-139-141-143-147-161-
163-165-171-190140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN ANOKA BENTON
BLUE EARTH BROWN CARLTON
CARVER CHISAGO COOK
COTTONWOOD DAKOTA FARIBAULT
FREEBORN HENNEPIN ISANTI
JACKSON KANABEC LE SUEUR
MCLEOD MARTIN MEEKER
MILLE LACS NICOLLET PINE
RAMSEY RICE SCOTT
SHERBURNE SIBLEY STEELE
WASECA WASHINGTON WATONWAN
WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 433
VALID 182235Z - 182340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE BKX TO
20 ENE AXN TO 25 W BRD TO 50 NNE ELO.
..THORNTON..06/18/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 433
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-003-009-013-015-017-019-023-025-031-033-035-037-043-047-
053-059-063-065-067-075-079-083-085-091-093-095-097-101-103-105-
115-123-127-129-131-137-139-141-143-145-147-153-161-163-165-171-
173-182340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN ANOKA BENTON
BLUE EARTH BROWN CARLTON
CARVER CHIPPEWA CHISAGO
COOK COTTONWOOD CROW WING
DAKOTA FARIBAULT FREEBORN
HENNEPIN ISANTI JACKSON
KANABEC KANDIYOHI LAKE
LE SUEUR LYON MCLEOD
MARTIN MEEKER MILLE LACS
MORRISON MURRAY NICOLLET
NOBLES PINE RAMSEY
REDWOOD RENVILLE RICE
ST. LOUIS SCOTT SHERBURNE
SIBLEY STEARNS STEELE
TODD WASECA WASHINGTON
WATONWAN WRIGHT YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 433
VALID 182135Z - 182240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE BKX
TO 25 NE AXN TO 45 NNE ELO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1322
..THORNTON..06/18/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 433
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-003-009-013-015-017-019-023-025-031-033-035-037-043-047-
053-059-063-065-067-075-079-081-083-085-091-093-095-097-101-103-
105-111-115-117-121-123-127-129-131-133-137-139-141-143-145-147-
151-153-161-163-165-171-173-182240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN ANOKA BENTON
BLUE EARTH BROWN CARLTON
CARVER CHIPPEWA CHISAGO
COOK COTTONWOOD CROW WING
DAKOTA FARIBAULT FREEBORN
HENNEPIN ISANTI JACKSON
KANABEC KANDIYOHI LAKE
LE SUEUR LINCOLN LYON
MCLEOD MARTIN MEEKER
MILLE LACS MORRISON MURRAY
NICOLLET NOBLES OTTER TAIL
PINE PIPESTONE POPE
RAMSEY REDWOOD RENVILLE
RICE ROCK ST. LOUIS
SCOTT SHERBURNE SIBLEY
STEARNS STEELE SWIFT
TODD WASECA WASHINGTON
WATONWAN WRIGHT YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 433
VALID 182035Z - 182140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW VVV TO
40 WNW BRD TO 45 WNW HIB TO 45 NNE ELO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1322
..LYONS..06/18/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 433
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-003-009-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-031-033-035-037-041-
043-047-053-059-061-063-065-067-073-075-079-081-083-085-091-093-
095-097-101-103-105-115-117-121-123-127-129-131-133-137-139-141-
143-145-147-149-151-153-159-161-163-165-171-173-182140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN ANOKA BENTON
BLUE EARTH BROWN CARLTON
CARVER CASS CHIPPEWA
CHISAGO COOK COTTONWOOD
CROW WING DAKOTA DOUGLAS
FARIBAULT FREEBORN HENNEPIN
ISANTI ITASCA JACKSON
KANABEC KANDIYOHI LAC QUI PARLE
LAKE LE SUEUR LINCOLN
LYON MCLEOD MARTIN
MEEKER MILLE LACS MORRISON
MURRAY NICOLLET NOBLES
PINE PIPESTONE POPE
RAMSEY REDWOOD RENVILLE
RICE ROCK ST. LOUIS
SCOTT SHERBURNE SIBLEY
STEARNS STEELE STEVENS
SWIFT TODD WADENA
WASECA WASHINGTON WATONWAN
WRIGHT YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 433
VALID 181930Z - 182040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GRAMS..06/18/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 433
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-003-005-009-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-031-033-035-037-
041-043-047-051-053-057-059-061-063-065-067-071-073-075-079-081-
083-085-091-093-095-097-101-103-105-111-115-117-121-123-127-129-
131-133-137-139-141-143-145-147-149-151-153-159-161-163-165-171-
173-182040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN ANOKA BECKER
BENTON BLUE EARTH BROWN
CARLTON CARVER CASS
CHIPPEWA CHISAGO COOK
COTTONWOOD CROW WING DAKOTA
DOUGLAS FARIBAULT FREEBORN
GRANT HENNEPIN HUBBARD
ISANTI ITASCA JACKSON
KANABEC KANDIYOHI KOOCHICHING
LAC QUI PARLE LAKE LE SUEUR
LINCOLN LYON MCLEOD
MARTIN MEEKER MILLE LACS
MORRISON MURRAY NICOLLET
NOBLES OTTER TAIL PINE
PIPESTONE POPE RAMSEY
REDWOOD RENVILLE RICE
ROCK ST. LOUIS SCOTT
SHERBURNE SIBLEY STEARNS
STEELE STEVENS SWIFT
TODD WADENA WASECA
WASHINGTON WATONWAN WRIGHT
YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.