Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 409
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Iowa
Western and Central Illinois
Northeast Kansas
Northern Missouri
Far Southeast Nebraska
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Intense thunderstorms are expected to develop and pose a
threat for very large hail and significant severe/damaging winds
this afternoon and evening. Some of the hail could be 2-3 inches in
diameter, and severe winds may peak in the 70-80 mph range with any
line of thunderstorms that can form and spread east-southeastward.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles south
southwest of Falls City NE to 40 miles east northeast of Peoria IL.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 408...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30030.
...Gleason
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 409
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Iowa
Western and Central Illinois
Northeast Kansas
Northern Missouri
Far Southeast Nebraska
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Intense thunderstorms are expected to develop and pose a
threat for very large hail and significant severe/damaging winds
this afternoon and evening. Some of the hail could be 2-3 inches in
diameter, and severe winds may peak in the 70-80 mph range with any
line of thunderstorms that can form and spread east-southeastward.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles south
southwest of Falls City NE to 40 miles east northeast of Peoria IL.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 408...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30030.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 409 SEVERE TSTM IA IL KS MO NE 132000Z - 140300Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20SSW FNB/FALLS CITY NE/ - 40ENE PIA/PEORIA IL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /32SE PWE - 32ESE BDF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30030.
LAT...LON 40829574 41908897 39888897 38799574
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 409 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 409
VALID 140110Z - 140240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW SDA TO
20 NW IRK TO 30 SW BRL TO 20 N BRL TO 30 WNW MLI.
..SPC..06/14/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...OAX...LSX...ILX...EAX...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 409
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-011-017-039-057-067-071-073-095-107-109-113-123-125-
129-131-137-143-149-155-167-169-171-175-179-187-203-140240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN BUREAU
CASS DE WITT FULTON
HANCOCK HENDERSON HENRY
KNOX LOGAN MCDONOUGH
MCLEAN MARSHALL MASON
MENARD MERCER MORGAN
PEORIA PIKE PUTNAM
SANGAMON SCHUYLER SCOTT
STARK TAZEWELL WARREN
WOODFORD
$$
IAC057-111-140240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DES MOINES LEE
$$
KSC005-013-043-085-087-091-103-131-209-140240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON BROWN DONIPHAN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LEAVENWORTH NEMAHA WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC001-003-005-021-025-033-041-045-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-
087-089-095-103-107-111-115-117-121-127-129-137-147-165-171-173-
175-177-195-197-199-205-211-227-140240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW ATCHISON
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CARROLL
CHARITON CLARK CLAY
CLINTON DAVIESS DEKALB
GENTRY GRUNDY HARRISON
HOLT HOWARD JACKSON
KNOX LAFAYETTE LEWIS
LINN LIVINGSTON MACON
MARION MERCER MONROE
NODAWAY PLATTE PUTNAM
RALLS RANDOLPH RAY
SALINE SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SHELBY SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
NEC147-140240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
RICHARDSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 409
VALID 132240Z - 132340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/13/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...OAX...LSX...ILX...EAX...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 409
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-011-017-039-057-067-071-073-095-107-109-113-123-125-
129-131-137-143-149-155-161-167-169-171-175-179-187-195-203-
132340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN BUREAU
CASS DE WITT FULTON
HANCOCK HENDERSON HENRY
KNOX LOGAN MCDONOUGH
MCLEAN MARSHALL MASON
MENARD MERCER MORGAN
PEORIA PIKE PUTNAM
ROCK ISLAND SANGAMON SCHUYLER
SCOTT STARK TAZEWELL
WARREN WHITESIDE WOODFORD
$$
IAC003-007-039-051-053-057-071-087-101-107-111-115-117-121-123-
125-135-139-145-159-163-173-175-177-179-181-183-185-132340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS APPANOOSE CLARKE
DAVIS DECATUR DES MOINES
FREMONT HENRY JEFFERSON
KEOKUK LEE LOUISA
LUCAS MADISON MAHASKA
MARION MONROE MUSCATINE
PAGE RINGGOLD SCOTT
TAYLOR UNION VAN BUREN
WAPELLO WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE
$$
KSC005-013-043-085-087-091-103-131-209-132340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON BROWN DONIPHAN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LEAVENWORTH NEMAHA WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC001-003-005-021-025-033-041-045-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-
087-089-095-103-107-111-115-117-121-127-129-137-147-165-171-173-
175-177-195-197-199-205-211-227-132340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW ATCHISON
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CARROLL
CHARITON CLARK CLAY
CLINTON DAVIESS DEKALB
GENTRY GRUNDY HARRISON
HOLT HOWARD JACKSON
KNOX LAFAYETTE LEWIS
LINN LIVINGSTON MACON
MARION MERCER MONROE
NODAWAY PLATTE PUTNAM
RALLS RANDOLPH RAY
SALINE SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SHELBY SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
NEC127-147-132340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
NEMAHA RICHARDSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 409
VALID 132135Z - 132240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/13/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...OAX...LSX...ILX...EAX...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 409
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-011-017-039-057-067-071-073-095-107-109-113-123-125-
129-131-137-143-149-155-161-167-169-171-175-179-187-195-203-
132240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN BUREAU
CASS DE WITT FULTON
HANCOCK HENDERSON HENRY
KNOX LOGAN MCDONOUGH
MCLEAN MARSHALL MASON
MENARD MERCER MORGAN
PEORIA PIKE PUTNAM
ROCK ISLAND SANGAMON SCHUYLER
SCOTT STARK TAZEWELL
WARREN WHITESIDE WOODFORD
$$
IAC003-007-039-051-053-057-071-087-101-107-111-115-117-121-123-
125-135-139-145-159-163-173-175-177-179-181-183-185-132240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS APPANOOSE CLARKE
DAVIS DECATUR DES MOINES
FREMONT HENRY JEFFERSON
KEOKUK LEE LOUISA
LUCAS MADISON MAHASKA
MARION MONROE MUSCATINE
PAGE RINGGOLD SCOTT
TAYLOR UNION VAN BUREN
WAPELLO WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE
$$
KSC005-013-043-085-087-091-103-131-209-132240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON BROWN DONIPHAN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LEAVENWORTH NEMAHA WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC001-003-005-021-025-033-041-045-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-
087-089-095-103-107-111-115-117-121-127-129-137-147-165-171-173-
175-177-195-197-199-205-211-227-132240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW ATCHISON
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CARROLL
CHARITON CLARK CLAY
CLINTON DAVIESS DEKALB
GENTRY GRUNDY HARRISON
HOLT HOWARD JACKSON
KNOX LAFAYETTE LEWIS
LINN LIVINGSTON MACON
MARION MERCER MONROE
NODAWAY PLATTE PUTNAM
RALLS RANDOLPH RAY
SALINE SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SHELBY SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
NEC127-147-132240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
NEMAHA RICHARDSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.