Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 405
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
northern and central Minnesota
eastern North Dakota
far northeastern South Dakota
northwestern Wisconsin
Lake Superior
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 330 PM
until 1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected by 4:30 PM or so
across the eastern North Dakota/northwestern Minnesota area, with
storms quickly becoming severe. Very large/destructive hail, and
strong/damaging wind gusts are expected, with a tornado or two also
possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles north of Fargo
ND to 35 miles east of Duluth MN. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29040.
...Goss
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 405
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
northern and central Minnesota
eastern North Dakota
far northeastern South Dakota
northwestern Wisconsin
Lake Superior
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 330 PM
until 1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected by 4:30 PM or so
across the eastern North Dakota/northwestern Minnesota area, with
storms quickly becoming severe. Very large/destructive hail, and
strong/damaging wind gusts are expected, with a tornado or two also
possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles north of Fargo
ND to 35 miles east of Duluth MN. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29040.
...Goss
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 405 SEVERE TSTM MN ND SD WI LS 122030Z - 130300Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40N FAR/FARGO ND/ - 35E DLH/DULUTH MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM N/S /31SSE GFK - 31E DLH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29040.
LAT...LON 48809682 48139144 45539144 46209682
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 405 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 405
VALID 130140Z - 130240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW FAR TO
45 NW ELO TO 20 SW GNA TO 20 SE AXN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1244
..WEINMAN..06/13/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...MPX...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 405
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC007-069-077-089-113-135-130240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELTRAMI KITTSON LAKE OF THE WOODS
MARSHALL PENNINGTON ROSEAU
$$
NDC067-099-130240-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PEMBINA WALSH
$$
WIC003-005-007-031-129-130240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND BARRON BAYFIELD
DOUGLAS WASHBURN
$$
LSZ121-148-130240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHEQUAMEGON BAY-BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI
OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 405
VALID 130005Z - 130140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW FAR TO
40 ESE INL TO 30 NNW ELO TO 35 W AXN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1243
..WEINMAN..06/13/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...MPX...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 405
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC007-011-021-031-041-051-069-071-075-077-089-113-121-135-137-
149-153-155-159-130140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELTRAMI BIG STONE CASS
COOK DOUGLAS GRANT
KITTSON KOOCHICHING LAKE
LAKE OF THE WOODS MARSHALL PENNINGTON
POPE ROSEAU ST. LOUIS
STEVENS TODD TRAVERSE
WADENA
$$
NDC067-099-130140-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PEMBINA WALSH
$$
WIC005-007-031-129-130140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON BAYFIELD DOUGLAS
WASHBURN
$$
LSZ121-140-141-142-143-144-145-146-147-148-150-162-130140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHEQUAMEGON BAY-BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI
GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN
TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI
PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI
OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI
OUTER APOSTLE ISLANDS BEYOND 5 NM FROM MAINLAND
LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF A LINE FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO GRAND
PORTAGE MN BEYOND 5NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 405
VALID 122250Z - 122340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1241
..WEINMAN..06/12/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...MPX...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 405
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-005-007-009-011-017-021-025-027-029-031-035-041-051-057-
059-061-065-069-071-075-077-087-089-095-097-107-111-113-115-119-
121-125-135-137-141-145-149-153-155-159-167-122340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN BECKER BELTRAMI
BENTON BIG STONE CARLTON
CASS CHISAGO CLAY
CLEARWATER COOK CROW WING
DOUGLAS GRANT HUBBARD
ISANTI ITASCA KANABEC
KITTSON KOOCHICHING LAKE
LAKE OF THE WOODS MAHNOMEN MARSHALL
MILLE LACS MORRISON NORMAN
OTTER TAIL PENNINGTON PINE
POLK POPE RED LAKE
ROSEAU ST. LOUIS SHERBURNE
STEARNS STEVENS TODD
TRAVERSE WADENA WILKIN
$$
NDC017-035-067-077-097-099-122340-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS GRAND FORKS PEMBINA
RICHLAND TRAILL WALSH
$$
SDC109-122340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ROBERTS
$$
WIC005-007-013-031-095-129-122340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON BAYFIELD BURNETT
DOUGLAS POLK WASHBURN
$$
LSZ121-140-141-142-143-144-145-146-147-148-150-162-122340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHEQUAMEGON BAY-BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI
GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN
TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI
PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI
OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI
OUTER APOSTLE ISLANDS BEYOND 5 NM FROM MAINLAND
LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF A LINE FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO GRAND
PORTAGE MN BEYOND 5NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (70%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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