Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 277
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
110 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Iowa
Northwest Illinois
Southeast Minnesota
Western Wisconsin
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 110 PM until
900 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 90
mph likely
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 4 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...An increasingly volatile environment and very strong
atmospheric winds are expected to yield an outbreak of severe storms
including tornadoes and widespread damaging winds across the region
through the afternoon and early evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 110 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles south southwest of Ottumwa IA
to 50 miles northeast of Mankato MN. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 276...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 80 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 22045.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 277 TORNADO IA IL MN WI 211810Z - 220200Z
AXIS..110 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30SSW OTM/OTTUMWA IA/ - 50NE MKT/MANKATO MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 95NM E/W /34N IRK - 9S MSP/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..4 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..80 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.
LAT...LON 40689477 44719544 44719096 40689057
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 277 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 277
VALID 220145Z - 220240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE IRK
TO 25 W DBQ TO 20 N DBQ TO 15 SW VOK.
..BENTLEY..05/22/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...DVN...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 277
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC015-071-073-085-131-161-187-195-220240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL HENDERSON HENRY
JO DAVIESS MERCER ROCK ISLAND
WARREN WHITESIDE
$$
IAC031-045-057-061-087-097-103-105-111-115-139-163-183-220240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CEDAR CLINTON DES MOINES
DUBUQUE HENRY JACKSON
JOHNSON JONES LEE
LOUISA MUSCATINE SCOTT
WASHINGTON
$$
WIC103-220240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
RICHLAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 277
VALID 220030Z - 220140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW IRK
TO 40 S LSE TO 35 ESE EAU TO 30 E EAU.
..HART..05/22/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...DVN...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 277
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC015-071-073-085-131-161-187-195-220140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL HENDERSON HENRY
JO DAVIESS MERCER ROCK ISLAND
WARREN WHITESIDE
$$
IAC011-019-031-043-045-051-055-057-061-087-095-097-101-103-105-
107-111-113-115-139-163-177-179-183-220140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON BUCHANAN CEDAR
CLAYTON CLINTON DAVIS
DELAWARE DES MOINES DUBUQUE
HENRY IOWA JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON JONES
KEOKUK LEE LINN
LOUISA MUSCATINE SCOTT
VAN BUREN WAPELLO WASHINGTON
$$
WIC023-043-063-103-123-220140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD GRANT LA CROSSE
RICHLAND VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 277
VALID 212330Z - 220040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E LWD TO
15 NE ALO TO 35 WNW LSE TO 40 WSW EAU.
..HART..05/21/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...DVN...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 277
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC015-071-073-085-131-161-187-195-220040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL HENDERSON HENRY
JO DAVIESS MERCER ROCK ISLAND
WARREN WHITESIDE
$$
IAC005-007-011-013-017-019-031-043-045-051-055-057-061-065-087-
095-097-101-103-105-107-111-113-115-123-135-139-157-163-171-177-
179-183-185-191-220040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE APPANOOSE BENTON
BLACK HAWK BREMER BUCHANAN
CEDAR CLAYTON CLINTON
DAVIS DELAWARE DES MOINES
DUBUQUE FAYETTE HENRY
IOWA JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSON JONES KEOKUK
LEE LINN LOUISA
MAHASKA MONROE MUSCATINE
POWESHIEK SCOTT TAMA
VAN BUREN WAPELLO WASHINGTON
WAYNE WINNESHIEK
$$
MNC055-169-220040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOUSTON WINONA
$$
WIC011-023-043-063-091-103-121-123-220040-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO CRAWFORD GRANT
LA CROSSE PEPIN RICHLAND
TREMPEALEAU VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 277
VALID 212250Z - 212340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E LWD TO
45 SW ALO TO 15 SSW RST TO 15 ESE MSP.
..HART..05/21/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...DVN...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 277
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC015-071-073-085-131-161-187-195-212340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL HENDERSON HENRY
JO DAVIESS MERCER ROCK ISLAND
WARREN WHITESIDE
$$
IAC005-007-011-013-017-019-023-031-037-043-045-051-055-057-061-
065-067-075-087-089-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-111-113-115-117-
123-125-127-135-139-157-163-171-177-179-183-185-191-212340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE APPANOOSE BENTON
BLACK HAWK BREMER BUCHANAN
BUTLER CEDAR CHICKASAW
CLAYTON CLINTON DAVIS
DELAWARE DES MOINES DUBUQUE
FAYETTE FLOYD GRUNDY
HENRY HOWARD IOWA
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON
JOHNSON JONES KEOKUK
LEE LINN LOUISA
LUCAS MAHASKA MARION
MARSHALL MONROE MUSCATINE
POWESHIEK SCOTT TAMA
VAN BUREN WAPELLO WASHINGTON
WAYNE WINNESHIEK
$$
MNC045-049-055-109-157-169-212340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FILLMORE GOODHUE HOUSTON
OLMSTED WABASHA WINONA
$$
WIC011-023-043-063-091-103-121-123-212340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO CRAWFORD GRANT
LA CROSSE PEPIN RICHLAND
TREMPEALEAU VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 277
VALID 212210Z - 212340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 ESE LWD TO
35 ESE FOD TO 35 SE MKT TO 35 NNW MKT.
..HART..05/21/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...DVN...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 277
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC015-071-073-085-131-161-187-195-212340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL HENDERSON HENRY
JO DAVIESS MERCER ROCK ISLAND
WARREN WHITESIDE
$$
IAC005-007-011-013-017-019-023-031-033-037-039-043-045-051-053-
055-057-061-065-067-069-075-083-087-089-095-097-099-101-103-105-
107-111-113-115-117-123-125-127-131-135-139-153-157-163-169-171-
177-179-181-183-185-191-195-212340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE APPANOOSE BENTON
BLACK HAWK BREMER BUCHANAN
BUTLER CEDAR CERRO GORDO
CHICKASAW CLARKE CLAYTON
CLINTON DAVIS DECATUR
DELAWARE DES MOINES DUBUQUE
FAYETTE FLOYD FRANKLIN
GRUNDY HARDIN HENRY
HOWARD IOWA JACKSON
JASPER JEFFERSON JOHNSON
JONES KEOKUK LEE
LINN LOUISA LUCAS
MAHASKA MARION MARSHALL
MITCHELL MONROE MUSCATINE
POLK POWESHIEK SCOTT
STORY TAMA VAN BUREN
WAPELLO WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE WINNESHIEK WORTH
$$
MNC019-037-039-045-047-049-055-079-099-109-131-139-147-157-169-
212340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARVER DAKOTA DODGE
FILLMORE FREEBORN GOODHUE
HOUSTON LE SUEUR MOWER
OLMSTED RICE SCOTT
STEELE WABASHA WINONA
$$
WIC011-023-043-063-091-103-121-123-212340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO CRAWFORD GRANT
LA CROSSE PEPIN RICHLAND
TREMPEALEAU VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 277
VALID 212140Z - 212240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 SSW LWD TO
15 SSE FOD TO 20 ENE FRM TO 25 ENE RWF.
..HART..05/21/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...DVN...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 277
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC015-071-073-085-131-161-187-195-212240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL HENDERSON HENRY
JO DAVIESS MERCER ROCK ISLAND
WARREN WHITESIDE
$$
IAC005-007-011-013-015-017-019-023-031-033-037-039-043-045-051-
053-055-057-061-065-067-069-075-079-081-083-087-089-095-097-099-
101-103-105-107-111-113-115-117-121-123-125-127-131-135-139-153-
157-163-169-171-177-179-181-183-185-187-189-191-195-197-
212240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE APPANOOSE BENTON
BLACK HAWK BOONE BREMER
BUCHANAN BUTLER CEDAR
CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW CLARKE
CLAYTON CLINTON DAVIS
DECATUR DELAWARE DES MOINES
DUBUQUE FAYETTE FLOYD
FRANKLIN GRUNDY HAMILTON
HANCOCK HARDIN HENRY
HOWARD IOWA JACKSON
JASPER JEFFERSON JOHNSON
JONES KEOKUK LEE
LINN LOUISA LUCAS
MADISON MAHASKA MARION
MARSHALL MITCHELL MONROE
MUSCATINE POLK POWESHIEK
SCOTT STORY TAMA
VAN BUREN WAPELLO WARREN
WASHINGTON WAYNE WEBSTER
WINNEBAGO WINNESHIEK WORTH
WRIGHT
$$
MNC013-019-037-039-043-045-047-049-055-079-099-103-109-131-139-
143-147-157-161-169-212240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLUE EARTH CARVER DAKOTA
DODGE FARIBAULT FILLMORE
FREEBORN GOODHUE HOUSTON
LE SUEUR MOWER NICOLLET
OLMSTED RICE SCOTT
SIBLEY STEELE WABASHA
WASECA WINONA
$$
WIC011-023-043-063-091-103-121-123-212240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO CRAWFORD GRANT
LA CROSSE PEPIN RICHLAND
TREMPEALEAU VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 277
VALID 212100Z - 212240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W LWD TO
40 E DNS TO 10 S FRM TO 20 NE RWF.
..HART..05/21/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...DVN...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 277
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC015-071-073-085-131-161-187-195-212240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL HENDERSON HENRY
JO DAVIESS MERCER ROCK ISLAND
WARREN WHITESIDE
$$
IAC001-005-007-011-013-015-017-019-023-031-033-037-039-043-045-
049-051-053-055-057-061-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-081-083-087-
089-091-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-121-123-
125-127-131-135-139-153-157-159-163-169-171-175-177-179-181-183-
185-187-189-191-195-197-212240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLAMAKEE APPANOOSE
BENTON BLACK HAWK BOONE
BREMER BUCHANAN BUTLER
CEDAR CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW
CLARKE CLAYTON CLINTON
DALLAS DAVIS DECATUR
DELAWARE DES MOINES DUBUQUE
FAYETTE FLOYD FRANKLIN
GREENE GRUNDY GUTHRIE
HAMILTON HANCOCK HARDIN
HENRY HOWARD HUMBOLDT
IOWA JACKSON JASPER
JEFFERSON JOHNSON JONES
KEOKUK KOSSUTH LEE
LINN LOUISA LUCAS
MADISON MAHASKA MARION
MARSHALL MITCHELL MONROE
MUSCATINE POLK POWESHIEK
RINGGOLD SCOTT STORY
TAMA UNION VAN BUREN
WAPELLO WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE WEBSTER WINNEBAGO
WINNESHIEK WORTH WRIGHT
$$
MNC013-019-037-039-043-045-047-049-055-079-091-099-103-109-131-
139-143-147-157-161-165-169-212240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLUE EARTH CARVER DAKOTA
DODGE FARIBAULT FILLMORE
FREEBORN GOODHUE HOUSTON
LE SUEUR MARTIN MOWER
NICOLLET OLMSTED RICE
SCOTT SIBLEY STEELE
WABASHA WASECA WATONWAN
WINONA
$$
WIC011-091-121-212240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO PEPIN TREMPEALEAU
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
High (80%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.