Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 261
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
435 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Colorado
Northwest Kansas
Southwest Nebraska
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 435 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will likely develop
through the remainder of the afternoon and early evening. The
stronger storms will be capable of severe gusts and large hail. A
tornado cannot be ruled out with any cyclonic supercell.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles north
northwest of Burlington CO to 65 miles east of Mccook NE. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 258...WW 259...WW 260...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 261 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE 192135Z - 200200Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40NNW ITR/BURLINGTON CO/ - 65E MCK/MCCOOK NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /36SE AKO - 57E MCK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 40500257 40919935 39479935 39050257
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 261 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 261
VALID 200125Z - 200240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNW GCK
TO 40 NNW GLD TO 20 W IML TO 20 E IML TO 15 S HLC.
..MOORE..05/20/24
ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 261
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC023-039-109-153-179-193-200240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR LOGAN
RAWLINS SHERIDAN THOMAS
$$
NEC057-087-200240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 261
VALID 200100Z - 200240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW GCK
TO 40 WNW IML.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 843
..MOORE..05/20/24
ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 261
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC023-039-109-137-147-153-179-193-200240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR LOGAN
NORTON PHILLIPS RAWLINS
SHERIDAN THOMAS
$$
NEC057-065-087-145-200240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY FURNAS HITCHCOCK
RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 261
VALID 192355Z - 200040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOORE..05/19/24
ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 261
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC125-200040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
YUMA
$$
KSC023-039-109-137-147-153-179-181-193-199-200040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR LOGAN
NORTON PHILLIPS RAWLINS
SHERIDAN SHERMAN THOMAS
WALLACE
$$
NEC057-065-087-145-200040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY FURNAS HITCHCOCK
RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 261
VALID 192310Z - 200040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOORE..05/19/24
ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 261
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC125-200040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
YUMA
$$
KSC023-039-109-137-147-153-179-181-193-199-200040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR LOGAN
NORTON PHILLIPS RAWLINS
SHERIDAN SHERMAN THOMAS
WALLACE
$$
NEC057-065-087-145-200040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY FURNAS HITCHCOCK
RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.