Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 98
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
835 PM CDT Tue Apr 9 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and South Texas
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 835 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to rapidly develop this evening
along a dryline and track eastward across the watch area. Intense
supercells and bowing storms capable of very large hail and damaging
winds are possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles north of New
Braunfels TX to 70 miles south southwest of Alice TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 95...WW 96...WW 97...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
25035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 98 SEVERE TSTM TX CW 100135Z - 100900Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25N BAZ/NEW BRAUNFELS TX/ - 70SSW ALI/ALICE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /32SW CWK - 66SE LRD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 30089678 26799725 26799968 30089928
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 98 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 98
VALID 100735Z - 100840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE CRP
TO 20 NE CRP TO VCT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 408
..MOSIER..04/10/24
ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...HGX...BRO...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 98
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC007-041-051-057-185-391-477-100840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARANSAS BRAZOS BURLESON
CALHOUN GRIMES REFUGIO
WASHINGTON
$$
GMZ155-236-237-250-255-100840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TX OUT 20 NM
COPANO ARANSAS AND REDFISH BAYS
SAN ANTONIO MESQUITE AND ESPIRITU SANTO BAYS
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 98
VALID 100555Z - 100640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW LRD
TO 45 ENE COT TO 40 ESE AUS.
..MOSIER..04/10/24
ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...HGX...BRO...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 98
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC007-025-041-047-051-057-123-131-149-175-177-185-247-249-255-
261-273-285-297-311-355-391-409-469-477-505-100640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARANSAS BEE BRAZOS
BROOKS BURLESON CALHOUN
DEWITT DUVAL FAYETTE
GOLIAD GONZALES GRIMES
JIM HOGG JIM WELLS KARNES
KENEDY KLEBERG LAVACA
LIVE OAK MCMULLEN NUECES
REFUGIO SAN PATRICIO VICTORIA
WASHINGTON ZAPATA
$$
GMZ135-155-231-232-236-237-250-255-100640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TX OUT 20 NM
BAFFIN BAY AND UPPER LAGUNA MADRE
CORPUS CHRISTI AND NUECES BAYS
COPANO ARANSAS AND REDFISH BAYS
SAN ANTONIO MESQUITE AND ESPIRITU SANTO BAYS
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 98
VALID 100440Z - 100540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW HDO
TO 5 NNW AUS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 407
..DEAN..04/10/24
ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...HGX...BRO...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 98
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC007-013-021-025-029-041-047-051-055-057-091-123-127-131-149-
163-175-177-185-187-247-249-255-261-273-283-285-287-297-311-325-
355-391-409-469-477-479-493-505-507-100540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARANSAS ATASCOSA BASTROP
BEE BEXAR BRAZOS
BROOKS BURLESON CALDWELL
CALHOUN COMAL DEWITT
DIMMIT DUVAL FAYETTE
FRIO GOLIAD GONZALES
GRIMES GUADALUPE JIM HOGG
JIM WELLS KARNES KENEDY
KLEBERG LA SALLE LAVACA
LEE LIVE OAK MCMULLEN
MEDINA NUECES REFUGIO
SAN PATRICIO VICTORIA WASHINGTON
WEBB WILSON ZAPATA
ZAVALA
$$
GMZ135-155-231-232-236-237-250-255-100540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TX OUT 20 NM
BAFFIN BAY AND UPPER LAGUNA MADRE
CORPUS CHRISTI AND NUECES BAYS
COPANO ARANSAS AND REDFISH BAYS
SAN ANTONIO MESQUITE AND ESPIRITU SANTO BAYS
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 98
VALID 100330Z - 100440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 407
..DEAN..04/10/24
ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...HGX...BRO...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 98
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC007-013-019-021-025-029-041-047-051-055-057-091-123-127-131-
149-163-175-177-185-187-247-249-255-259-261-273-283-285-287-297-
311-325-355-391-409-469-477-479-493-505-507-100440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARANSAS ATASCOSA BANDERA
BASTROP BEE BEXAR
BRAZOS BROOKS BURLESON
CALDWELL CALHOUN COMAL
DEWITT DIMMIT DUVAL
FAYETTE FRIO GOLIAD
GONZALES GRIMES GUADALUPE
JIM HOGG JIM WELLS KARNES
KENDALL KENEDY KLEBERG
LA SALLE LAVACA LEE
LIVE OAK MCMULLEN MEDINA
NUECES REFUGIO SAN PATRICIO
VICTORIA WASHINGTON WEBB
WILSON ZAPATA ZAVALA
$$
GMZ135-155-231-232-236-237-250-255-100440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TX OUT 20 NM
BAFFIN BAY AND UPPER LAGUNA MADRE
CORPUS CHRISTI AND NUECES BAYS
COPANO ARANSAS AND REDFISH BAYS
SAN ANTONIO MESQUITE AND ESPIRITU SANTO BAYS
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.