Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 22
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
140 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Alabama
Florida Panhandle
Southeast Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Monday morning from 140 AM until 900 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...The potential for severe thunderstorms including
supercells is expected to increase overnight as low-level
atmospheric winds strengthen and additional destabilization occurs.
These storms will pose a tornado/damaging wind risk along with
isolated severe hail.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
north and south of a line from 40 miles north of Gulfport MS to 35
miles east of Troy AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the
associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 22 TORNADO AL FL MS CW 120740Z - 121500Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40N GPT/GULFPORT MS/ - 35E TOI/TROY AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /40WNW SJI - 50ESE MGM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 31998907 32888542 30868542 29978907
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 22 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 22
VALID 121335Z - 121440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S CEW TO
30 SSW TOI TO 30 N DHN.
..KERR..02/12/24
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 22
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-031-045-061-121440-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR COFFEE DALE
GENEVA
$$
FLC059-091-131-121440-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOLMES OKALOOSA WALTON
$$
GMZ634-635-636-655-121440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 22
VALID 121225Z - 121340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW PNS
TO 10 ENE GZH TO 35 E TOI.
..KERR..02/12/24
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 22
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-109-121340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR COFFEE CONECUH
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
ESCAMBIA GENEVA PIKE
$$
FLC033-059-091-113-131-121340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA HOLMES OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA WALTON
$$
MSC111-121340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PERRY
$$
GMZ633-634-635-636-121340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 22
VALID 121125Z - 121240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N GPT TO
45 WNW GZH TO 15 WNW SEM.
..KERR..02/12/24
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 22
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-003-005-011-013-031-035-039-041-045-047-051-053-061-081-
085-087-097-099-101-109-113-131-121240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BALDWIN BARBOUR
BULLOCK BUTLER COFFEE
CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW
DALE DALLAS ELMORE
ESCAMBIA GENEVA LEE
LOWNDES MACON MOBILE
MONROE MONTGOMERY PIKE
RUSSELL WILCOX
$$
FLC033-059-091-113-131-121240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA HOLMES OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA WALTON
$$
MSC039-111-131-121240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE PERRY STONE
$$
GMZ630-631-633-634-635-636-121240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 22
VALID 121025Z - 121140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE PIB TO
55 E PIB TO 45 E MEI.
..KERR..02/12/24
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 22
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-003-005-011-013-025-031-035-039-041-045-047-051-053-061-
081-085-087-091-097-099-101-105-109-113-129-131-121140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BALDWIN BARBOUR
BULLOCK BUTLER CLARKE
COFFEE CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW DALE DALLAS
ELMORE ESCAMBIA GENEVA
LEE LOWNDES MACON
MARENGO MOBILE MONROE
MONTGOMERY PERRY PIKE
RUSSELL WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC033-059-091-113-131-121140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA HOLMES OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA WALTON
$$
MSC039-041-111-131-121140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE PERRY
STONE
$$
GMZ630-631-633-634-635-636-121140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 22
VALID 120935Z - 121040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E PIB TO
40 SSE MEI TO 35 ESE MEI.
..KERR..02/12/24
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 22
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-003-005-011-013-023-025-031-035-039-041-045-047-051-053-
061-081-085-087-091-097-099-101-105-109-113-129-131-121040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BALDWIN BARBOUR
BULLOCK BUTLER CHOCTAW
CLARKE COFFEE CONECUH
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
DALLAS ELMORE ESCAMBIA
GENEVA LEE LOWNDES
MACON MARENGO MOBILE
MONROE MONTGOMERY PERRY
PIKE RUSSELL WASHINGTON
WILCOX
$$
FLC033-059-091-113-131-121040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA HOLMES OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA WALTON
$$
MSC039-041-111-131-153-121040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE PERRY
STONE WAYNE
$$
GMZ630-631-633-634-635-636-121040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.