Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 555
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Colorado
Western and Central Kansas
Southwest Nebraska
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forecast to continue to develop and
intensify through the afternoon and into the evening. The stronger
storms will be capable of a risk for large hail (1-2 inches in
diameter) and severe gusts (60-75 mph). A linear thunderstorm
cluster is expected to eventually evolve by evening with the primary
risk becoming a wind hazard.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west northwest
of Burlington CO to 25 miles north northeast of Russell KS. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
32025.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 555 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE 191925Z - 200300Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40WNW ITR/BURLINGTON CO/ - 25NNE RSL/RUSSELL KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /43SSE AKO - 50WNW SLN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 32025.
LAT...LON 40400297 40139864 38259864 38520297
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 555 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 555
VALID 192145Z - 192240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..07/19/24
ATTN...WFO...GLD...ICT...DDC...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 555
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC017-063-125-192240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE KIT CARSON YUMA
$$
KSC009-023-039-051-063-065-071-101-109-135-137-141-147-153-163-
165-167-171-179-181-183-193-195-199-203-192240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON CHEYENNE DECATUR
ELLIS GOVE GRAHAM
GREELEY LANE LOGAN
NESS NORTON OSBORNE
PHILLIPS RAWLINS ROOKS
RUSH RUSSELL SCOTT
SHERIDAN SHERMAN SMITH
THOMAS TREGO WALLACE
WICHITA
$$
NEC057-065-083-087-145-192240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY FURNAS HARLAN
HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.