Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 456
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
500 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme eastern Iowa
Northern Illinois
Northern Indiana
Southern Lower Michigan
Northwestern Ohio
Southeastern Wisconsin
Lake Erie
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Tuesday morning from 500 AM until 1100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...An ongoing severe complex of thunderstorms may continue to
pose a threat for damaging gusts into parts of southern lower MI,
northern IN and northwestern OH before weakening later this morning.
Meanwhile, a newer belt of strong thunderstorms may reach severe
levels over portions of northern IL, southern Lake Michigan and
northern IN, perhaps merging with the trailing part of the older
activity.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles either side of a line from 40 miles west of Janesville
WI to 25 miles northeast of Findlay OH. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 455...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31040.
...Edwards
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 456
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
500 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme eastern Iowa
Northern Illinois
Northern Indiana
Southern Lower Michigan
Northwestern Ohio
Southeastern Wisconsin
Lake Erie
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Tuesday morning from 500 AM until 1100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...An ongoing severe complex of thunderstorms may continue to
pose a threat for damaging gusts into parts of southern lower MI,
northern IN and northwestern OH before weakening later this morning.
Meanwhile, a newer belt of strong thunderstorms may reach severe
levels over portions of northern IL, southern Lake Michigan and
northern IN, perhaps merging with the trailing part of the older
activity.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles either side of a line from 40 miles west of Janesville
WI to 25 miles northeast of Findlay OH. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 455...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31040.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 456 SEVERE TSTM IA IL IN MI OH WI LE LM 251000Z - 251600Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
40W JVL/JANESVILLE WI/ - 25NE FDY/FINDLAY OH/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM EITHER SIDE /42ENE DBQ - 56S DXO/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31040.
LAT...LON 43478958 42138310 40418356 41779005
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 456 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 456
VALID 251425Z - 251540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW VPZ TO
25 S SBN TO 35 NNE FWA TO 15 SW TOL TO 45 WNW CLE.
..BENTLEY..06/25/24
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LOT...IWX...DTX...CLE...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 456
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC003-033-085-099-113-149-183-251540-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN DE KALB KOSCIUSKO
MARSHALL NOBLE STARKE
WHITLEY
$$
OHC003-039-063-069-125-137-143-147-161-173-251540-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN DEFIANCE HANCOCK
HENRY PAULDING PUTNAM
SANDUSKY SENECA VAN WERT
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 456
VALID 251345Z - 251440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE MLI TO
40 WNW VPZ TO 30 SSE AZO TO 35 WNW TOL TO 35 SSE MTC.
..BENTLEY..06/25/24
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LOT...IWX...DTX...CLE...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 456
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC063-091-093-099-197-251440-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GRUNDY KANKAKEE KENDALL
LA SALLE WILL
$$
INC003-033-039-073-085-087-089-091-099-111-113-127-141-149-151-
183-251440-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN DE KALB ELKHART
JASPER KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE
LAKE LA PORTE MARSHALL
NEWTON NOBLE PORTER
ST. JOSEPH STARKE STEUBEN
WHITLEY
$$
MIC115-251440-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MONROE
$$
OHC003-039-051-063-069-095-123-125-137-143-147-161-171-173-
251440-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN DEFIANCE FULTON
HANCOCK HENRY LUCAS
OTTAWA PAULDING PUTNAM
SANDUSKY SENECA VAN WERT
WILLIAMS WOOD
$$
LEZ142-143-162-163-444-251440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH
DETROIT RIVER LT. TO MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH BEYOND 5NM
OFFSHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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