Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 333
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
145 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
New Jersey
Central and Eastern New York
Eastern Pennsylvania
Lake Ontario
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 145 PM until
900 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are expected to gradually
intensify this afternoon within a destabilizing environment ahead of
a fast-moving upper-level system over the Northeast.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles northeast of
Watertown NY to 30 miles west southwest of Philadelphia PA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 332...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
22030.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 333 SEVERE TSTM NJ NY PA LO CW 271745Z - 280100Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50NE ART/WATERTOWN NY/ - 30WSW PHL/PHILADELPHIA PA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /35SW MSS - 53S ETX/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030.
LAT...LON 44507368 39687426 39687728 44507693
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 333 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 333
VALID 280005Z - 280140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW BWI
TO 30 NNE IPT TO 15 W PSF.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1025
..MOORE..05/28/24
ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...ALY...BGM...BUF...BTV...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-003-005-280140-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX
$$
MDC011-029-041-280140-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAROLINE KENT TALBOT
$$
NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-037-
041-280140-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN
CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER
HUNTERDON MERCER MIDDLESEX
MONMOUTH MORRIS OCEAN
SALEM SOMERSET SUSSEX
WARREN
$$
PAC011-017-025-029-037-043-045-069-071-075-077-079-089-091-093-
095-101-103-107-113-127-131-133-280140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKS BUCKS CARBON
CHESTER COLUMBIA DAUPHIN
DELAWARE LACKAWANNA LANCASTER
LEBANON LEHIGH LUZERNE
MONROE MONTGOMERY MONTOUR
NORTHAMPTON PHILADELPHIA PIKE
SCHUYLKILL SULLIVAN WAYNE
WYOMING YORK
$$
ANZ430-431-454-455-539-SLZ022-280140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 333
VALID 272045Z - 272140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..05/27/24
ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...ALY...BGM...BUF...BTV...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NJC003-005-007-013-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-035-037-039-
041-272140-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERGEN BURLINGTON CAMDEN
ESSEX HUDSON HUNTERDON
MERCER MIDDLESEX MONMOUTH
MORRIS OCEAN PASSAIC
SOMERSET SUSSEX UNION
WARREN
$$
NYC001-005-007-011-015-017-023-025-027-035-039-041-043-045-047-
049-053-057-061-065-067-071-075-077-079-081-085-087-089-091-093-
095-097-099-105-107-109-111-113-117-119-123-272140-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY BRONX BROOME
CAYUGA CHEMUNG CHENANGO
CORTLAND DELAWARE DUTCHESS
FULTON GREENE HAMILTON
HERKIMER JEFFERSON KINGS
LEWIS MADISON MONTGOMERY
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) ONEIDA ONONDAGA
ORANGE OSWEGO OTSEGO
PUTNAM QUEENS RICHMOND
ROCKLAND ST. LAWRENCE SARATOGA
SCHENECTADY SCHOHARIE SCHUYLER
SENECA SULLIVAN TIOGA
TOMPKINS ULSTER WARREN
WAYNE WESTCHESTER YATES
$$
PAC001-011-015-017-025-029-037-041-043-045-069-071-075-077-079-
081-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-107-109-113-115-119-127-131-
133-272140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BERKS BRADFORD
BUCKS CARBON CHESTER
COLUMBIA CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN
DELAWARE LACKAWANNA LANCASTER
LEBANON LEHIGH LUZERNE
LYCOMING MONROE MONTGOMERY
MONTOUR NORTHAMPTON NORTHUMBERLAND
PERRY PHILADELPHIA PIKE
SCHUYLKILL SNYDER SULLIVAN
SUSQUEHANNA UNION WAYNE
WYOMING YORK
$$
ANZ338-LOZ044-045-064-065-SLZ022-272140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY
MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER
SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE
TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
NEW YORK HARBOR
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 333
VALID 271910Z - 272040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..05/27/24
ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...ALY...BGM...BUF...BTV...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NJC003-005-007-013-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-035-037-039-
041-272040-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERGEN BURLINGTON CAMDEN
ESSEX HUDSON HUNTERDON
MERCER MIDDLESEX MONMOUTH
MORRIS OCEAN PASSAIC
SOMERSET SUSSEX UNION
WARREN
$$
NYC001-005-007-011-015-017-023-025-027-035-039-041-043-045-047-
049-053-057-061-065-067-071-075-077-079-081-085-087-089-091-093-
095-097-099-105-107-109-111-113-117-119-123-272040-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY BRONX BROOME
CAYUGA CHEMUNG CHENANGO
CORTLAND DELAWARE DUTCHESS
FULTON GREENE HAMILTON
HERKIMER JEFFERSON KINGS
LEWIS MADISON MONTGOMERY
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) ONEIDA ONONDAGA
ORANGE OSWEGO OTSEGO
PUTNAM QUEENS RICHMOND
ROCKLAND ST. LAWRENCE SARATOGA
SCHENECTADY SCHOHARIE SCHUYLER
SENECA SULLIVAN TIOGA
TOMPKINS ULSTER WARREN
WAYNE WESTCHESTER YATES
$$
PAC001-011-015-017-025-029-037-041-043-045-069-071-075-077-079-
081-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-107-109-113-115-119-127-131-
133-272040-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BERKS BRADFORD
BUCKS CARBON CHESTER
COLUMBIA CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN
DELAWARE LACKAWANNA LANCASTER
LEBANON LEHIGH LUZERNE
LYCOMING MONROE MONTGOMERY
MONTOUR NORTHAMPTON NORTHUMBERLAND
PERRY PHILADELPHIA PIKE
SCHUYLKILL SNYDER SULLIVAN
SUSQUEHANNA UNION WAYNE
WYOMING YORK
$$
ANZ338-LOZ044-045-064-065-SLZ022-272040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY
MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER
SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE
TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
NEW YORK HARBOR
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.