Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 281
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
640 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and northeast Wisconsin
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Tuesday night from 640 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Initial supercells will consolidate into a more solid
squall line that will move rapidly northeastward across Wisconsin
through early tonight. Embedded circulations will be capable of
producing tornadoes (a couple of which could produce roughly EF2
damage), damaging gusts up to 80 mph, and isolated large hail near 1
inch in diameter for the next several hours.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles northeast of Wausau WI to 35
miles southwest of Oshkosh WI. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 277...WW 278...WW
279...WW 280...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24050.
...Thompson
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 281
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
640 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and northeast Wisconsin
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Tuesday night from 640 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Initial supercells will consolidate into a more solid
squall line that will move rapidly northeastward across Wisconsin
through early tonight. Embedded circulations will be capable of
producing tornadoes (a couple of which could produce roughly EF2
damage), damaging gusts up to 80 mph, and isolated large hail near 1
inch in diameter for the next several hours.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles northeast of Wausau WI to 35
miles southwest of Oshkosh WI. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 277...WW 278...WW
279...WW 280...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24050.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 281 TORNADO WI LM 212340Z - 220500Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NE AUW/WAUSAU WI/ - 35SW OSH/OSHKOSH WI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /25SSE RHI - 31E DLL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
LAT...LON 45268737 43618735 43619074 45269087
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 281 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 281
VALID 220350Z - 220440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW OSH
TO 15 WSW GRB TO 45 NE GRB.
..KERR..05/22/24
ATTN...WFO...ARX...GRB...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 281
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC009-015-029-047-061-071-087-139-220440-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALUMET DOOR
GREEN LAKE KEWAUNEE MANITOWOC
OUTAGAMIE WINNEBAGO
$$
LMZ521-522-541-542-543-220440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI
TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 281
VALID 220150Z - 220240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW LNR TO
10 NNE VOK TO 20 S CWA TO 20 ESE RHI.
..BENTLEY..05/22/24
ATTN...WFO...ARX...GRB...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 281
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC001-009-015-029-057-061-067-071-075-078-083-087-097-115-135-
137-139-220240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN CALUMET
DOOR JUNEAU KEWAUNEE
LANGLADE MANITOWOC MARINETTE
MENOMINEE OCONTO OUTAGAMIE
PORTAGE SHAWANO WAUPACA
WAUSHARA WINNEBAGO
$$
LMZ521-522-541-542-543-220240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI
TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 281
VALID 220035Z - 220140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW VOK TO
35 E EAU TO 35 NE EAU.
..HART..05/22/24
ATTN...WFO...ARX...GRB...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 281
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC001-009-015-019-029-053-057-061-067-069-071-073-075-078-081-
083-087-097-115-119-135-137-139-141-220140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN CALUMET
CLARK DOOR JACKSON
JUNEAU KEWAUNEE LANGLADE
LINCOLN MANITOWOC MARATHON
MARINETTE MENOMINEE MONROE
OCONTO OUTAGAMIE PORTAGE
SHAWANO TAYLOR WAUPACA
WAUSHARA WINNEBAGO WOOD
$$
LMZ521-522-541-542-543-220140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI
TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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