Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 235
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
850 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South central Texas
* Effective this Monday morning and afternoon from 850 AM until
400 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Scattered supercell development is expected this morning
and the storms will likely persist into this afternoon while
spreading eastward and increasing in coverage. Very large hail up
to 3 inches in diameter and severe outflow gusts of 60-70 mph will
be the primary hazards.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles north and south of a line from 90 miles west northwest
of Cotulla TX to 55 miles north of Victoria TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 234...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
27025.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 235 SEVERE TSTM TX 131350Z - 132100Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
90WNW COT/COTULLA TX/ - 55N VCT/VICTORIA TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /27SSE DLF - 54SE CWK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
LAT...LON 29950060 30669692 28639692 27930060
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 235 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 235
VALID 132025Z - 132140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 WNW LRD
TO 40 WSW COT TO 40 E COT TO 30 N NIR TO 30 NNE VCT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 770
..GLEASON..05/13/24
ATTN...WFO...EWX...CRP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 235
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC007-025-127-149-175-283-297-311-391-409-469-479-132140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARANSAS BEE DIMMIT
FAYETTE GOLIAD LA SALLE
LIVE OAK MCMULLEN REFUGIO
SAN PATRICIO VICTORIA WEBB
$$
GMZ232-236-255-350-132140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GMZ232
GMZ236
GMZ255
GMZ350
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 235
VALID 131915Z - 132040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 S DRT TO
60 W COT TO 15 NNW COT TO 15 SSW SAT TO 25 E BAZ TO 20 SW CLL.
..GLEASON..05/13/24
ATTN...WFO...EWX...CRP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 235
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-025-123-127-149-163-175-177-187-255-283-285-297-311-323-
469-479-493-132040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA BEE DEWITT
DIMMIT FAYETTE FRIO
GOLIAD GONZALES GUADALUPE
KARNES LA SALLE LAVACA
LIVE OAK MCMULLEN MAVERICK
VICTORIA WEBB WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 235
VALID 131735Z - 131840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 S DRT TO
50 SE DRT TO 30 W HDO TO 20 NNE HDO TO 45 NNW SAT TO 60 E JCT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 766
..GLEASON..05/13/24
ATTN...WFO...EWX...CRP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 235
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-021-025-029-031-055-091-123-127-149-163-175-177-187-209-
255-259-283-285-287-297-311-323-325-453-463-469-479-493-507-
131840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA BASTROP BEE
BEXAR BLANCO CALDWELL
COMAL DEWITT DIMMIT
FAYETTE FRIO GOLIAD
GONZALES GUADALUPE HAYS
KARNES KENDALL LA SALLE
LAVACA LEE LIVE OAK
MCMULLEN MAVERICK MEDINA
TRAVIS UVALDE VICTORIA
WEBB WILSON ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 235
VALID 131615Z - 131740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE DRT
TO 45 WNW HDO TO 25 ESE JCT.
..GLEASON..05/13/24
ATTN...WFO...EWX...CRP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 235
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-019-021-025-029-031-055-091-123-127-149-163-171-175-177-
187-209-255-259-265-271-283-285-287-297-311-323-325-385-453-463-
469-479-493-507-131740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA BANDERA BASTROP
BEE BEXAR BLANCO
CALDWELL COMAL DEWITT
DIMMIT FAYETTE FRIO
GILLESPIE GOLIAD GONZALES
GUADALUPE HAYS KARNES
KENDALL KERR KINNEY
LA SALLE LAVACA LEE
LIVE OAK MCMULLEN MAVERICK
MEDINA REAL TRAVIS
UVALDE VICTORIA WEBB
WILSON ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 235
VALID 131545Z - 131640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..05/13/24
ATTN...WFO...EWX...CRP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 235
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-019-021-025-029-031-055-091-123-127-137-149-163-171-175-
177-187-209-255-259-265-271-283-285-287-297-311-323-325-385-453-
463-469-479-493-507-131640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA BANDERA BASTROP
BEE BEXAR BLANCO
CALDWELL COMAL DEWITT
DIMMIT EDWARDS FAYETTE
FRIO GILLESPIE GOLIAD
GONZALES GUADALUPE HAYS
KARNES KENDALL KERR
KINNEY LA SALLE LAVACA
LEE LIVE OAK MCMULLEN
MAVERICK MEDINA REAL
TRAVIS UVALDE VICTORIA
WEBB WILSON ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 235
VALID 131450Z - 131540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..05/13/24
ATTN...WFO...EWX...CRP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 235
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-019-021-025-029-031-055-091-123-127-137-149-163-171-175-
177-187-209-255-259-265-271-283-285-287-297-311-323-325-385-453-
463-469-479-493-507-131540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA BANDERA BASTROP
BEE BEXAR BLANCO
CALDWELL COMAL DEWITT
DIMMIT EDWARDS FAYETTE
FRIO GILLESPIE GOLIAD
GONZALES GUADALUPE HAYS
KARNES KENDALL KERR
KINNEY LA SALLE LAVACA
LEE LIVE OAK MCMULLEN
MAVERICK MEDINA REAL
TRAVIS UVALDE VICTORIA
WEBB WILSON ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (70%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.