Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 293
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
140 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme southeast Arkansas
Northeast Louisiana
Central Mississippi
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 140 PM
until 800 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds and scattered significant gusts to 90
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
A few tornadoes likely
SUMMARY...A supercell cluster is evolving into a bow echo along the
Louisiana/Arkansas border, and this cluster will likely persist
across the remainder of northern Louisiana into central Mississippi
through the afternoon. A derecho-producing event is probable with
intense damaging wind swaths up to 90 mph. Embedded supercells will
pose a threat for 1.5-3 inch diameter hail, and embedded
circulations will also be capable of producing tornadoes.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles northwest of
Monroe LA to 20 miles east of Meridian MS. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 289...WW 290...WW
291...WW 292...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 80 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
28050.
...Thompson
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 293
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
140 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme southeast Arkansas
Northeast Louisiana
Central Mississippi
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 140 PM
until 800 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds and scattered significant gusts to 90
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
A few tornadoes likely
SUMMARY...A supercell cluster is evolving into a bow echo along the
Louisiana/Arkansas border, and this cluster will likely persist
across the remainder of northern Louisiana into central Mississippi
through the afternoon. A derecho-producing event is probable with
intense damaging wind swaths up to 90 mph. Embedded supercells will
pose a threat for 1.5-3 inch diameter hail, and embedded
circulations will also be capable of producing tornadoes.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles northwest of
Monroe LA to 20 miles east of Meridian MS. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 289...WW 290...WW
291...WW 292...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 80 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
28050.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 293 SEVERE TSTM AR LA MS 141840Z - 150100Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30NW MLU/MONROE LA/ - 20E MEI/MERIDIAN MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /26NW MLU - 20E MEI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..80 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28050.
LAT...LON 33629240 33138841 31538841 32039240
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 293 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 293
VALID 142335Z - 150040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW MCB TO
30 N HEZ TO 20 NE MLU TO 35 ESE ELD.
..LYONS..06/14/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 293
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-017-150040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY CHICOT
$$
LAC025-029-035-065-123-150040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL
MADISON WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC001-007-011-015-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-043-049-051-
053-055-061-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-083-085-087-089-091-097-
099-101-103-105-121-123-125-127-129-133-149-151-155-159-163-
150040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATTALA BOLIVAR
CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
CLARKE CLAY COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA JASPER
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEAKE LEFLORE LINCOLN
LOWNDES MADISON MARION
MONTGOMERY NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA RANKIN
SCOTT SHARKEY SIMPSON
SMITH SUNFLOWER WARREN
WASHINGTON WEBSTER WINSTON
YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 293
VALID 142215Z - 142340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..06/14/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 293
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC017-142340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHICOT
$$
LAC025-029-035-041-065-067-083-107-123-142340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN MADISON MOREHOUSE
RICHLAND TENSAS WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC001-007-011-015-019-021-023-025-029-031-037-043-049-051-053-
055-061-063-065-067-069-075-077-079-083-085-087-089-097-099-101-
103-105-121-123-125-127-129-133-149-151-155-159-163-142340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATTALA BOLIVAR
CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
CLARKE CLAY COPIAH
COVINGTON FRANKLIN GRENADA
HINDS HOLMES HUMPHREYS
ISSAQUENA JASPER JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE
LEFLORE LINCOLN LOWNDES
MADISON MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
RANKIN SCOTT SHARKEY
SIMPSON SMITH SUNFLOWER
WARREN WASHINGTON WEBSTER
WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 293
VALID 142055Z - 142140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE ELD TO
20 NNW GLH.
..LYONS..06/14/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 293
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC017-142140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHICOT
$$
LAC025-029-035-041-065-067-083-107-123-142140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN MADISON MOREHOUSE
RICHLAND TENSAS WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC001-007-011-015-019-021-023-025-029-031-037-043-049-051-053-
055-061-063-065-067-069-075-077-079-083-085-087-089-097-099-101-
103-105-121-123-125-127-129-133-149-151-155-159-163-142140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATTALA BOLIVAR
CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
CLARKE CLAY COPIAH
COVINGTON FRANKLIN GRENADA
HINDS HOLMES HUMPHREYS
ISSAQUENA JASPER JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE
LEFLORE LINCOLN LOWNDES
MADISON MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
RANKIN SCOTT SHARKEY
SIMPSON SMITH SUNFLOWER
WARREN WASHINGTON WEBSTER
WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 293
VALID 141950Z - 142040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..06/14/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 293
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-017-142040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY CHICOT
$$
LAC035-041-065-067-083-107-123-142040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN MADISON
MOREHOUSE RICHLAND TENSAS
WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC007-011-015-019-021-023-025-029-031-043-049-051-053-055-061-
063-065-067-069-075-077-079-083-085-087-089-097-099-101-103-105-
121-123-125-127-129-133-149-151-155-159-163-142040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA BOLIVAR CARROLL
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLARKE
CLAY COPIAH COVINGTON
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA JASPER
JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES
KEMPER LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEAKE LEFLORE LINCOLN
LOWNDES MADISON MONTGOMERY
NESHOBA NEWTON NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA RANKIN SCOTT
SHARKEY SIMPSON SMITH
SUNFLOWER WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
High (90%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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