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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 277
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
200 PM CDT Mon Jun 12 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and eastern Louisiana
Central and southern Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 200 PM until
800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity
through the afternoon from Louisiana into Mississippi. The storm
environment will support multicell clusters and supercells capable
of producing large hail of 1-2 inches in diameter and damaging
outflow gusts of 60-70 mph.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles west southwest
of Natchitoches LA to 55 miles northeast of Gulfport MS. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 275...WW 276...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
29025.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 277 SEVERE TSTM LA MS CW 121900Z - 130100Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25WSW IER/NATCHITOCHES LA/ - 55NE GPT/GULFPORT MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /55WNW AEX - 14NNW SJI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.
LAT...LON 32329349 31688841 30248841 30889349
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 277 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 277
VALID 122230Z - 122340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE POE
TO 35 SE ESF TO 25 NE MCB TO 10 W PIB TO 10 ENE PIB TO 30 ESE MEI.
..THORNTON..06/12/23
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 277
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC033-037-039-063-077-091-097-103-105-117-121-125-122340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE
LIVINGSTON POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA
ST. LANDRY ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA
WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC005-035-045-047-059-073-091-109-113-147-157-122340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMITE FORREST HANCOCK
HARRISON JACKSON LAMAR
MARION PEARL RIVER PIKE
WALTHALL WILKINSON
$$
GMZ530-532-122340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 277
VALID 122140Z - 122240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW POE
TO 20 NE ESF TO 40 ENE HEZ TO 45 NNE MCB TO 25 NNW PIB TO 25 NW
MEI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1001
..THORNTON..06/12/23
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 277
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC009-029-033-037-039-063-077-079-091-097-103-105-115-117-121-
125-122240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
AVOYELLES CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE LIVINGSTON
POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES ST. HELENA
ST. LANDRY ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA
VERNON WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-023-031-035-037-045-047-059-061-063-065-067-073-077-
085-091-109-113-147-157-122240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLARKE
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
HANCOCK HARRISON JACKSON
JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES LAMAR LAWRENCE
LINCOLN MARION PEARL RIVER
PIKE WALTHALL WILKINSON
$$
GMZ530-532-122240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 277
VALID 122140Z - 122240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW POE
TO 20 NE ESF TO 40 ENE HEZ TO 45 NNE MCB TO 25 NNW PIB TO 25 NW
MEI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1001
..THORNTON..06/12/23
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 277
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC009-029-033-037-039-063-077-079-091-097-103-105-115-117-121-
125-122240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
AVOYELLES CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE LIVINGSTON
POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES ST. HELENA
ST. LANDRY ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA
VERNON WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-023-031-035-037-045-047-059-061-063-065-067-073-077-
085-091-109-113-147-157-122240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLARKE
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
HANCOCK HARRISON JACKSON
JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES LAMAR LAWRENCE
LINCOLN MARION PEARL RIVER
PIKE WALTHALL WILKINSON
$$
GMZ530-532-122240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 277
VALID 122040Z - 122140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..06/12/23
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 277
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC009-021-025-029-033-037-039-041-043-059-063-065-069-077-079-
083-085-091-097-103-105-107-115-117-121-125-127-122140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
AVOYELLES CALDWELL CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA
EVANGELINE FRANKLIN GRANT
LA SALLE LIVINGSTON MADISON
NATCHITOCHES POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES
RICHLAND SABINE ST. HELENA
ST. LANDRY ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA
TENSAS VERNON WASHINGTON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA WINN
$$
MSC001-005-021-023-029-031-035-037-045-047-049-059-061-063-065-
067-073-077-085-091-109-113-121-127-129-147-149-157-122140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLAIBORNE
CLARKE COPIAH COVINGTON
FORREST FRANKLIN HANCOCK
HARRISON HINDS JACKSON
JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES LAMAR LAWRENCE
LINCOLN MARION PEARL RIVER
PIKE RANKIN SIMPSON
SMITH WALTHALL WARREN
WILKINSON
$$
GMZ530-532-122140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 277
VALID 121935Z - 122040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..06/12/23
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 277
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC009-021-025-029-033-037-039-041-043-059-063-065-069-077-079-
083-085-091-097-103-105-107-115-117-121-125-127-122040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
AVOYELLES CALDWELL CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA
EVANGELINE FRANKLIN GRANT
LA SALLE LIVINGSTON MADISON
NATCHITOCHES POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES
RICHLAND SABINE ST. HELENA
ST. LANDRY ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA
TENSAS VERNON WASHINGTON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA WINN
$$
MSC001-005-021-023-029-031-035-037-045-047-049-059-061-063-065-
067-073-077-085-091-109-113-121-127-129-147-149-157-122040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLAIBORNE
CLARKE COPIAH COVINGTON
FORREST FRANKLIN HANCOCK
HARRISON HINDS JACKSON
JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES LAMAR LAWRENCE
LINCOLN MARION PEARL RIVER
PIKE RANKIN SIMPSON
SMITH WALTHALL WARREN
WILKINSON
$$
GMZ530-532-122040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.