Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 411
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
110 PM CDT Tue Jun 28 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Upper Michigan
Northeast Wisconsin
Lake Michigan
Lake Superior
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 110 PM until
800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms have begun to develop along a cold front
over Upper Michigan. These storms will progress east-southeastward
this afternoon, posing a threat of large hail and gusty winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 70 miles east northeast
of Escanaba MI to 35 miles northwest of Wausau WI. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.
...Hart
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 411
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
110 PM CDT Tue Jun 28 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Upper Michigan
Northeast Wisconsin
Lake Michigan
Lake Superior
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 110 PM until
800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms have begun to develop along a cold front
over Upper Michigan. These storms will progress east-southeastward
this afternoon, posing a threat of large hail and gusty winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 70 miles east northeast
of Escanaba MI to 35 miles northwest of Wausau WI. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 411 SEVERE TSTM MI WI LM LS 281810Z - 290100Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
70ENE ESC/ESCANABA MI/ - 35NW AUW/WAUSAU WI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /63WSW SSM - 36SW RHI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
LAT...LON 45238575 44419014 46159014 46978575
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 411 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 411
VALID 290035Z - 290100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N VOK TO
35 WNW MBL.
WW 411 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 290100Z.
..MOORE..06/29/22
ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 411
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC137-290100-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
WAUSHARA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 411
VALID 282325Z - 290040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW AUW
TO 30 SE IMT TO 35 NW PLN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1299
..MOORE..06/28/22
ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 411
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC067-073-075-078-083-097-115-135-137-141-290040-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LANGLADE MARATHON MARINETTE
MENOMINEE OCONTO PORTAGE
SHAWANO WAUPACA WAUSHARA
WOOD
$$
LMZ521-290040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 411
VALID 282230Z - 282340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW RHI
TO 20 SSE IMT TO 45 NW PLN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1299
..MOORE..06/28/22
ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 411
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MIC109-282340-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MENOMINEE
$$
WIC067-069-073-075-078-083-097-115-135-137-141-282340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LANGLADE LINCOLN MARATHON
MARINETTE MENOMINEE OCONTO
PORTAGE SHAWANO WAUPACA
WAUSHARA WOOD
$$
LMZ221-521-282340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND
PASSAGE
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 411
VALID 282145Z - 282240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE IWD
TO 50 WSW ANJ.
..MOORE..06/28/22
ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 411
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MIC041-043-109-153-282240-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DELTA DICKINSON MENOMINEE
SCHOOLCRAFT
$$
WIC037-041-067-069-073-075-078-083-085-097-115-125-135-137-141-
282240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FLORENCE FOREST LANGLADE
LINCOLN MARATHON MARINETTE
MENOMINEE OCONTO ONEIDA
PORTAGE SHAWANO VILAS
WAUPACA WAUSHARA WOOD
$$
LMZ221-521-282240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND
PASSAGE
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 411
VALID 282030Z - 282140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S IWD TO
35 NE RHI TO 30 N ESC TO 55 WNW ANJ.
..LEITMAN..06/28/22
ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 411
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MIC041-043-095-109-153-282140-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DELTA DICKINSON LUCE
MENOMINEE SCHOOLCRAFT
$$
WIC037-041-067-069-073-075-078-083-085-097-115-125-135-137-141-
282140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FLORENCE FOREST LANGLADE
LINCOLN MARATHON MARINETTE
MENOMINEE OCONTO ONEIDA
PORTAGE SHAWANO VILAS
WAUPACA WAUSHARA WOOD
$$
LMZ221-521-LSZ248-251-282140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND
PASSAGE
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI
HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI
GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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