Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 154
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
550 PM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
The Edwards Plateau of Texas
* Effective this Sunday afternoon from 550 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe storm development, including supercells, is
expected this evening along a slow-moving cold front now just south
of San Angelo. The storms will spread southeastward through early
tonight, with the attendant threats of large hail up to 2.5 inches
in diameter and damaging winds of 60-70 mph.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 115 miles west of
Junction TX to 10 miles south southeast of Junction TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 152...WW 153...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29020.
...Thompson
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 154
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
550 PM CDT Sun Apr 24 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
The Edwards Plateau of Texas
* Effective this Sunday afternoon from 550 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe storm development, including supercells, is
expected this evening along a slow-moving cold front now just south
of San Angelo. The storms will spread southeastward through early
tonight, with the attendant threats of large hail up to 2.5 inches
in diameter and damaging winds of 60-70 mph.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 115 miles west of
Junction TX to 10 miles south southeast of Junction TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 152...WW 153...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29020.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 154 SEVERE TSTM TX 242250Z - 250500Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
115W JCT/JUNCTION TX/ - 10SSE JCT/JUNCTION TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /71ESE FST - 14SSE JCT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29020.
LAT...LON 31160170 31049971 29749971 29850170
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 154 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 154
VALID 250430Z - 250540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..04/25/22
ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 154
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC105-137-235-267-327-413-435-451-465-250540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROCKETT EDWARDS IRION
KIMBLE MENARD SCHLEICHER
SUTTON TOM GREEN VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 154
VALID 250355Z - 250440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..04/25/22
ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 154
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC105-137-235-267-327-413-435-451-465-250440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROCKETT EDWARDS IRION
KIMBLE MENARD SCHLEICHER
SUTTON TOM GREEN VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 154
VALID 250240Z - 250340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..04/25/22
ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 154
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC105-137-235-267-327-413-435-451-465-250340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROCKETT EDWARDS IRION
KIMBLE MENARD SCHLEICHER
SUTTON TOM GREEN VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 154
VALID 250205Z - 250340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..04/25/22
ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 154
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC105-137-235-267-327-413-435-451-465-250340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROCKETT EDWARDS IRION
KIMBLE MENARD SCHLEICHER
SUTTON TOM GREEN VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 154
VALID 250045Z - 250140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..04/25/22
ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 154
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC105-137-235-267-327-413-435-451-465-250140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROCKETT EDWARDS IRION
KIMBLE MENARD SCHLEICHER
SUTTON TOM GREEN VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 154
VALID 242345Z - 250040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..04/24/22
ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 154
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC105-137-235-267-327-413-435-451-465-250040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROCKETT EDWARDS IRION
KIMBLE MENARD SCHLEICHER
SUTTON TOM GREEN VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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