Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 123
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
245 PM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Extreme southeastern Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
Central Mississippi
Extreme east central Texas
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 245 PM
until 1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes
possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Warm sector thunderstorm development will continue to
increase through the afternoon/evening from Louisiana into
Mississippi, in advance of a cold front approaching the Sabine
River. The storm environment favors a mix of clusters and
supercells, with attendant threats for a couple of strong tornadoes,
damaging winds, and large hail through late evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 120 statute miles
east and west of a line from 25 miles northwest of Greenwood MS to
20 miles south of Natchez MS. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 120...WW 121...WW 122...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...Thompson
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 123
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
245 PM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Extreme southeastern Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
Central Mississippi
Extreme east central Texas
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 245 PM
until 1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes
possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Warm sector thunderstorm development will continue to
increase through the afternoon/evening from Louisiana into
Mississippi, in advance of a cold front approaching the Sabine
River. The storm environment favors a mix of clusters and
supercells, with attendant threats for a couple of strong tornadoes,
damaging winds, and large hail through late evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 120 statute miles
east and west of a line from 25 miles northwest of Greenwood MS to
20 miles south of Natchez MS. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 120...WW 121...WW 122...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 123 TORNADO AR LA MS TX 131945Z - 140300Z
AXIS..120 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25NW GWO/GREENWOOD MS/ - 20S HEZ/NATCHEZ MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 105NM E/W /19NNW SQS - 51N BTR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 33748830 31318927 31319333 33749248
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 123 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 123
VALID 140140Z - 140240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE HEZ TO
40 NW PIB TO 45 NW MEI TO 20 SSW TUP.
..BROYLES..04/14/22
ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 123
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MSC023-025-031-035-061-065-067-069-073-075-077-085-087-091-099-
101-103-105-123-129-159-140240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE CLAY COVINGTON
FORREST JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES KEMPER LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LINCOLN
LOWNDES MARION NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
SCOTT SMITH WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 123
VALID 140055Z - 140140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW HEZ TO
65 N MCB TO 45 SSE GWO TO 30 NNE GWO.
..BROYLES..04/14/22
ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 123
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC029-140140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CONCORDIA
$$
MSC001-007-015-019-023-025-029-031-035-037-043-051-061-065-067-
069-073-075-077-079-085-087-091-097-099-101-103-105-121-123-127-
129-155-159-140140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATTALA CARROLL
CHOCTAW CLARKE CLAY
COPIAH COVINGTON FORREST
FRANKLIN GRENADA HOLMES
JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES
KEMPER LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN
LOWNDES MARION MONTGOMERY
NESHOBA NEWTON NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA RANKIN SCOTT
SIMPSON SMITH WEBSTER
WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 123
VALID 132330Z - 140040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW ESF
TO 35 E MLU TO 35 NNE GLH.
..BROYLES..04/13/22
ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 123
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC025-029-035-041-059-065-107-140040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN LA SALLE MADISON
TENSAS
$$
MSC001-007-015-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-043-049-051-053-
055-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-083-085-087-089-091-097-
099-101-103-105-121-123-125-127-129-133-149-155-159-163-
140040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATTALA CARROLL
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLARKE
CLAY COPIAH COVINGTON
FORREST FRANKLIN GRENADA
HINDS HOLMES HUMPHREYS
ISSAQUENA JASPER JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEAKE LEFLORE LINCOLN
LOWNDES MADISON MARION
MONTGOMERY NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA RANKIN
SCOTT SHARKEY SIMPSON
SMITH SUNFLOWER WARREN
WEBSTER WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 123
VALID 132230Z - 132340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E LFK TO
35 WSW IER TO 35 NNE IER TO 40 S ELD TO 10 SW PBF.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 484
..MOORE..04/13/22
ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 123
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-017-132340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY CHICOT
$$
LAC021-025-029-035-041-043-049-059-061-065-067-069-073-083-085-
107-111-123-127-132340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CATAHOULA CONCORDIA
EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT
JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN
MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES
OUACHITA RICHLAND SABINE
TENSAS UNION WEST CARROLL
WINN
$$
MSC001-007-011-015-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-043-049-051-
053-055-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-083-085-087-089-091-
097-099-101-103-105-121-123-125-127-129-133-149-151-155-159-163-
132340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATTALA BOLIVAR
CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
CLARKE CLAY COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA JASPER
JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES
KEMPER LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LEAKE LEFLORE
LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON
MARION MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
RANKIN SCOTT SHARKEY
SIMPSON SMITH SUNFLOWER
WARREN WASHINGTON WEBSTER
WINSTON YAZOO
$$
TXC403-132340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SABINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 123
VALID 132210Z - 132340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE LFK
TO 35 WNW IER TO 35 ESE SHV TO 5 WNW ELD TO 40 NNE ELD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 484
..LYONS..04/13/22
ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 123
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-017-139-132340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY CHICOT UNION
$$
LAC013-021-025-027-029-035-041-043-049-059-061-065-067-069-073-
083-085-107-111-123-127-132340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE CALDWELL CATAHOULA
CLAIBORNE CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN GRANT JACKSON
LA SALLE LINCOLN MADISON
MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA
RICHLAND SABINE TENSAS
UNION WEST CARROLL WINN
$$
MSC001-007-011-015-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-043-049-051-
053-055-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-083-085-087-089-091-
097-099-101-103-105-121-123-125-127-129-133-149-151-155-159-163-
132340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATTALA BOLIVAR
CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
CLARKE CLAY COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA JASPER
JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES
KEMPER LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LEAKE LEFLORE
LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON
MARION MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
RANKIN SCOTT SHARKEY
SIMPSON SMITH SUNFLOWER
WARREN WASHINGTON WEBSTER
WINSTON YAZOO
$$
TXC403-405-132340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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