Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 29
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
610 PM CST Sat Mar 5 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
East central and southeast Iowa
West central Illinois
Northeast Missouri
* Effective this Saturday evening from 610 PM until 1100 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Broken bands of supercells in Iowa and northern Missouri
will continue to spread quickly east-northeastward through late
evening, with a continued threat for a couple of tornadoes, damaging
winds of 60-70 mph, and isolated large hail near 1 inch diameter. A
gradual transition to a more linear convective mode suggests that
the threat for damaging winds may increase later this evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles west northwest of Dubuque IA
to 40 miles south southwest of Quincy IL. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 27...WW 28...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 24045.
...Thompson
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 29
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
610 PM CST Sat Mar 5 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
East central and southeast Iowa
West central Illinois
Northeast Missouri
* Effective this Saturday evening from 610 PM until 1100 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Broken bands of supercells in Iowa and northern Missouri
will continue to spread quickly east-northeastward through late
evening, with a continued threat for a couple of tornadoes, damaging
winds of 60-70 mph, and isolated large hail near 1 inch diameter. A
gradual transition to a more linear convective mode suggests that
the threat for damaging winds may increase later this evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles west northwest of Dubuque IA
to 40 miles south southwest of Quincy IL. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 27...WW 28...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 24045.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 29 TORNADO IA IL MO 060010Z - 060500Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40WNW DBQ/DUBUQUE IA/ - 40SSW UIN/QUINCY IL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM E/W /35WNW DBQ - 28SSW UIN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
LAT...LON 42629066 39419074 39419224 42629223
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 29 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 29
VALID 060335Z - 060440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW UIN
TO 30 ESE BRL.
..GOSS..03/06/22
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 29
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC109-060440-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCDONOUGH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 29
VALID 060100Z - 060240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..03/06/22
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 29
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-067-071-109-131-161-187-060240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS HANCOCK HENDERSON
MCDONOUGH MERCER ROCK ISLAND
WARREN
$$
IAC011-019-031-045-055-057-061-087-095-097-101-103-105-107-111-
113-115-139-163-177-183-060240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON BUCHANAN CEDAR
CLINTON DELAWARE DES MOINES
DUBUQUE HENRY IOWA
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
JONES KEOKUK LEE
LINN LOUISA MUSCATINE
SCOTT VAN BUREN WASHINGTON
$$
MOC045-103-111-127-137-173-199-205-060240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK KNOX LEWIS
MARION MONROE RALLS
SCOTLAND SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.