Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 9
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
215 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Far southeast Alabama
Florida Panhandle
Southwest to central Georgia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until
900 PM EST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm clusters with embedded supercell and bowing
structures should spread northeast this afternoon into early
evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 105 miles northeast of Albany GA to 15
miles south southeast of Panama City FL. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 9 TORNADO AL FL GA CW 021915Z - 030200Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
105NE ABY/ALBANY GA/ - 15SSE PFN/PANAMA CITY FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /37E MCN - 71WSW TLH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 32598181 30018450 30018667 32598404
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 9 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 9
VALID 030140Z - 030240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE PFN
TO 40 ENE MAI TO 50 WSW VDI TO 15 NW VDI TO 40 NW SAV.
..LYONS..01/03/22
ATTN...WFO...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC037-039-045-065-073-077-129-030240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
WAKULLA
$$
GAC017-019-027-071-075-131-155-209-271-275-277-279-309-030240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEN HILL BERRIEN BROOKS
COLQUITT COOK GRADY
IRWIN MONTGOMERY TELFAIR
THOMAS TIFT TOOMBS
WHEELER
$$
GMZ752-755-030240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 9
VALID 030040Z - 030140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW PFN
TO 20 SSW ABY TO 40 ENE ABY TO 15 NW VDI TO 40 NE VDI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 22
..LYONS..01/03/22
ATTN...WFO...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC005-013-037-039-045-065-073-077-129-030140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF JEFFERSON
LEON LIBERTY WAKULLA
$$
GAC017-019-027-071-075-087-131-155-205-209-253-271-275-277-279-
309-321-030140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEN HILL BERRIEN BROOKS
COLQUITT COOK DECATUR
GRADY IRWIN MITCHELL
MONTGOMERY SEMINOLE TELFAIR
THOMAS TIFT TOOMBS
WHEELER WORTH
$$
GMZ752-755-030140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 9
VALID 022320Z - 030040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE CEW
TO 10 N MAI TO 15 NW ABY TO 45 NE ABY TO 35 NNW VDI.
..LYONS..01/02/22
ATTN...WFO...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-129-133-030040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
WAKULLA WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-017-019-027-071-075-087-091-095-107-131-155-201-205-209-
253-271-275-277-279-283-287-309-321-030040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BROOKS COLQUITT COOK
DECATUR DODGE DOUGHERTY
EMANUEL GRADY IRWIN
MILLER MITCHELL MONTGOMERY
SEMINOLE TELFAIR THOMAS
TIFT TOOMBS TREUTLEN
TURNER WHEELER WORTH
$$
GMZ750-752-755-030040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 9
VALID 022130Z - 022240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE CEW
TO 40 ENE MCN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 20
..MOSIER..01/02/22
ATTN...WFO...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC069-022240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-129-133-022240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
WAKULLA WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-017-019-023-027-037-071-075-081-087-091-093-095-099-107-
131-155-167-175-177-201-205-209-235-253-271-273-275-277-279-283-
287-309-315-321-022240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BLECKLEY BROOKS CALHOUN
COLQUITT COOK CRISP
DECATUR DODGE DOOLY
DOUGHERTY EARLY EMANUEL
GRADY IRWIN JOHNSON
LAURENS LEE MILLER
MITCHELL MONTGOMERY PULASKI
SEMINOLE TELFAIR TERRELL
THOMAS TIFT TOOMBS
TREUTLEN TURNER WHEELER
WILCOX WORTH
$$
GMZ750-752-755-022240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.