Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 322
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
405 PM EDT Sat Jun 26 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern Lower Michigan
Lake Huron
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 405 PM until
1000 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms over western Lower Michigan will track
eastward this afternoon across the watch area. A few supercell
storms are possible, capable of damaging wind gusts and isolated
tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 30 miles west southwest of Saginaw MI
to 35 miles east of Bad Axe MI. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 321...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...Hart
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 322
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
405 PM EDT Sat Jun 26 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern Lower Michigan
Lake Huron
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 405 PM until
1000 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms over western Lower Michigan will track
eastward this afternoon across the watch area. A few supercell
storms are possible, capable of damaging wind gusts and isolated
tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 30 miles west southwest of Saginaw MI
to 35 miles east of Bad Axe MI. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 321...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 322 TORNADO MI LH 262005Z - 270200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30WSW MBS/SAGINAW MI/ - 35E BAX/BAD AXE MI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /26WSW MBS - 36NNE ECK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
LAT...LON 44238463 44658229 42918229 42498463
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 322 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 322
VALID 270130Z - 270200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW MBS
TO 10 E MBS TO 35 SW BAX TO 20 ENE FNT TO 50 NNE MTC.
WW 322 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 270200Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1117.
..MARSH..06/27/21
ATTN...WFO...APX...DTX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 322
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MIC049-087-093-099-125-145-147-155-161-270200-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GENESEE LAPEER LIVINGSTON
MACOMB OAKLAND SAGINAW
ST. CLAIR SHIAWASSEE WASHTENAW
$$
LCZ422-460-270200-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ST. CLAIR RIVER
LAKE ST. CLAIR OPEN LAKE (U.S. PORTION)
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 322
VALID 262320Z - 270040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW MBS
TO 40 ENE BAX.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1114.
..MARSH..06/26/21
ATTN...WFO...APX...DTX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 322
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MIC049-063-087-093-099-125-145-147-151-155-157-161-270040-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GENESEE HURON LAPEER
LIVINGSTON MACOMB OAKLAND
SAGINAW ST. CLAIR SANILAC
SHIAWASSEE TUSCOLA WASHTENAW
$$
LCZ422-460-LHZ442-443-463-464-270040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ST. CLAIR RIVER
LAKE ST. CLAIR OPEN LAKE (U.S. PORTION)
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC 5NM OFF SHORE TO
US/CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON 5NM OFF SHORE TO
US/CANADIAN BORDER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 322
VALID 262220Z - 262340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MARSH..06/26/21
ATTN...WFO...APX...DTX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 322
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MIC011-017-049-051-063-069-087-093-099-111-125-129-145-147-151-
155-157-262340-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARENAC BAY GENESEE
GLADWIN HURON IOSCO
LAPEER LIVINGSTON MACOMB
MIDLAND OAKLAND OGEMAW
SAGINAW ST. CLAIR SANILAC
SHIAWASSEE TUSCOLA
$$
LCZ422-460-LHZ349-363-421-422-441-442-443-462-463-464-262340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ST. CLAIR RIVER
LAKE ST. CLAIR OPEN LAKE (U.S. PORTION)
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO
US/CANADIAN BORDER
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE
US/CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC 5NM OFF SHORE TO
US/CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON 5NM OFF SHORE TO
US/CANADIAN BORDER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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