Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 238
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
920 PM MDT Sat Jun 5 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest into central North Dakota
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 920 PM
until 300 AM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A broken band of high-based thunderstorms may intensify
some in the next few hours while spreading east-northeastward from
southwest into central North Dakota. Damaging winds will be the
main threat, though isolated large hail may occur with the strongest
storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west southwest
of Dickinson ND to 30 miles south southeast of Devils Lake ND. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25035.
...Thompson
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 238
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
920 PM MDT Sat Jun 5 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest into central North Dakota
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 920 PM
until 300 AM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A broken band of high-based thunderstorms may intensify
some in the next few hours while spreading east-northeastward from
southwest into central North Dakota. Damaging winds will be the
main threat, though isolated large hail may occur with the strongest
storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west southwest
of Dickinson ND to 30 miles south southeast of Devils Lake ND. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25035.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 238 SEVERE TSTM ND 060320Z - 060900Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
45WSW DIK/DICKINSON ND/ - 30SSE DVL/DEVILS LAKE ND/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /42WSW DIK - 61WSW GFK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 47200367 48379867 47079867 45900367
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 238 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 238
VALID 060725Z - 060840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE BIS TO
35 ESE DIK TO 15 NE N60.
..KERR..06/06/21
ATTN...WFO...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 238
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NDC015-031-043-049-055-057-059-065-069-083-093-103-060840-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURLEIGH FOSTER KIDDER
MCHENRY MCLEAN MERCER
MORTON OLIVER PIERCE
SHERIDAN STUTSMAN WELLS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 238
VALID 060630Z - 060740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W Y22 TO
30 W N60.
..KERR..06/06/21
ATTN...WFO...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 238
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NDC001-015-025-031-037-041-043-049-055-057-059-065-069-083-089-
093-101-103-060740-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BURLEIGH DUNN
FOSTER GRANT HETTINGER
KIDDER MCHENRY MCLEAN
MERCER MORTON OLIVER
PIERCE SHERIDAN STARK
STUTSMAN WARD WELLS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 238
VALID 060545Z - 060640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE BHK
TO 15 NW DIK TO 50 NNE DIK.
..KERR..06/06/21
ATTN...WFO...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 238
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NDC001-011-015-025-031-037-041-043-049-055-057-059-065-069-083-
087-089-093-101-103-060640-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOWMAN BURLEIGH
DUNN FOSTER GRANT
HETTINGER KIDDER MCHENRY
MCLEAN MERCER MORTON
OLIVER PIERCE SHERIDAN
SLOPE STARK STUTSMAN
WARD WELLS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.