Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 183
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
445 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northwest Texas
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 445 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
SUMMARY...Discrete supercells developing along a remnant boundary
will pose a primary risk of very large hail through mid-evening. A
broader MCS will likely develop during the evening, increasing the
risk for damaging winds near to after sunset.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles
north and south of a line from 80 miles northwest of Abilene TX to
60 miles north northeast of Abilene TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 181...WW 182...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24025.
...Grams
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 183
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
445 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northwest Texas
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 445 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
SUMMARY...Discrete supercells developing along a remnant boundary
will pose a primary risk of very large hail through mid-evening. A
broader MCS will likely develop during the evening, increasing the
risk for damaging winds near to after sunset.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles
north and south of a line from 80 miles northwest of Abilene TX to
60 miles north northeast of Abilene TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 181...WW 182...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24025.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 183 TORNADO TX 172145Z - 180400Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
80NW ABI/ABILENE TX/ - 60NNE ABI/ABILENE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM N/S /61NW ABI - 53NNE ABI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
LAT...LON 34540066 34529928 31929928 31930066
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 183 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 183
VALID 180250Z - 180340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 663
..DEAN..05/18/21
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 183
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC023-075-101-151-155-197-207-253-269-275-353-417-433-441-447-
487-180340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAYLOR CHILDRESS COTTLE
FISHER FOARD HARDEMAN
HASKELL JONES KING
KNOX NOLAN SHACKELFORD
STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 183
VALID 180140Z - 180240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 660
..DEAN..05/18/21
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 183
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC023-075-101-151-155-197-207-253-269-275-353-417-433-441-447-
487-180240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAYLOR CHILDRESS COTTLE
FISHER FOARD HARDEMAN
HASKELL JONES KING
KNOX NOLAN SHACKELFORD
STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 183
VALID 180050Z - 180140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 660
..DEAN..05/18/21
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 183
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC023-075-101-151-155-197-207-253-269-275-353-417-433-441-447-
487-180140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAYLOR CHILDRESS COTTLE
FISHER FOARD HARDEMAN
HASKELL JONES KING
KNOX NOLAN SHACKELFORD
STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 183
VALID 172245Z - 172340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 653
..DEAN..05/17/21
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 183
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC023-075-101-151-155-197-207-253-269-275-353-417-433-441-447-
487-172340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAYLOR CHILDRESS COTTLE
FISHER FOARD HARDEMAN
HASKELL JONES KING
KNOX NOLAN SHACKELFORD
STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (80%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.