Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 177
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
340 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Colorado
Southwest Kansas
Northeast New Mexico
Oklahoma Panhandle
Northwest Texas
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 340 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Although deep-layer winds are not overly strong, a
semi-moist and moderately unstable environment will support
initially isolated severe thunderstorm development across southeast
Colorado, northeast New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Isolated
large hail is the primary risk initially. Over time, one or more
clusters of storms should evolve by early/mid evening and move
east-southeastward with increasing damaging wind potential across
the Texas Panhandle toward the Low Rolling Plains.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 105
statute miles north and south of a line from 70 miles west northwest
of Clayton NM to 65 miles east southeast of Borger TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
31020.
...Guyer
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 177
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
340 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Colorado
Southwest Kansas
Northeast New Mexico
Oklahoma Panhandle
Northwest Texas
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 340 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Although deep-layer winds are not overly strong, a
semi-moist and moderately unstable environment will support
initially isolated severe thunderstorm development across southeast
Colorado, northeast New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Isolated
large hail is the primary risk initially. Over time, one or more
clusters of storms should evolve by early/mid evening and move
east-southeastward with increasing damaging wind potential across
the Texas Panhandle toward the Low Rolling Plains.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 105
statute miles north and south of a line from 70 miles west northwest
of Clayton NM to 65 miles east southeast of Borger TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
31020.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 177 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NM OK TX 162040Z - 170400Z
AXIS..105 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
70WNW CAO/CLAYTON NM/ - 65ESE BGD/BORGER TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 90NM N/S /34NE CIM - 58N CDS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31020.
LAT...LON 38340432 36840033 33820033 35310432
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 177 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 177
VALID 170235Z - 170340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E CVS TO
50 E TCC TO 10 SW AMA TO 35 NE PVW TO 40 NW CDS TO 45 W CSM.
..DIAL..05/17/21
ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 177
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-045-069-075-087-117-129-191-369-381-437-170340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CASTRO
CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH DEAF SMITH
DONLEY HALL PARMER
RANDALL SWISHER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 177
VALID 170030Z - 170140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE CVS TO
15 W DHT TO 35 NNW BGD TO 55 NE BGD TO 60 SSE LBL TO 35 ESE LBL
TO 30 ENE SPD TO 35 S LHX TO 35 N TAD.
..DIAL..05/17/21
ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 177
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC011-025-061-089-099-101-170140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENT CROWLEY KIOWA
OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO
$$
TXC011-045-065-069-075-087-117-129-179-191-205-211-233-341-359-
369-375-381-393-437-483-170140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON
CASTRO CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH
DEAF SMITH DONLEY GRAY
HALL HARTLEY HEMPHILL
HUTCHINSON MOORE OLDHAM
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
ROBERTS SWISHER WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 177
VALID 162345Z - 170040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 643
..DIAL..05/16/21
ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 177
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-025-071-089-099-101-170040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CROWLEY
LAS ANIMAS OTERO PROWERS
PUEBLO
$$
KSC129-187-189-170040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MORTON STANTON STEVENS
$$
NMC009-021-037-059-170040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY HARDING QUAY
UNION
$$
OKC025-139-170040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC011-045-065-069-075-087-111-117-129-179-191-195-205-211-233-
341-357-359-369-375-381-393-421-437-483-170040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON
CASTRO CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH
DALLAM DEAF SMITH DONLEY
GRAY HALL HANSFORD
HARTLEY HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON
MOORE OCHILTREE OLDHAM
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
ROBERTS SHERMAN SWISHER
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 177
VALID 162205Z - 162340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..05/16/21
ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 177
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-025-071-089-099-101-162340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CROWLEY
LAS ANIMAS OTERO PROWERS
PUEBLO
$$
KSC129-187-189-162340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MORTON STANTON STEVENS
$$
NMC009-021-037-059-162340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY HARDING QUAY
UNION
$$
OKC025-139-162340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC011-045-065-069-075-087-111-117-129-179-191-195-205-211-233-
341-357-359-369-375-381-393-421-437-483-162340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON
CASTRO CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH
DALLAM DEAF SMITH DONLEY
GRAY HALL HANSFORD
HARTLEY HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON
MOORE OCHILTREE OLDHAM
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
ROBERTS SHERMAN SWISHER
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.