Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 25
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1150 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southwest to central Alabama
Southeast Mississippi
* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 1150
PM until 500 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Multiple supercells should progress east-northeast along a
cold front overnight with additional cells potentially developing
ahead of the front. A couple tornadoes and scattered damaging winds
will be the main threats.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles southeast of Pine Belt MS to
60 miles north northwest of Selma AL. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 24...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 25 TORNADO AL MS 060550Z - 061100Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50SE PIB/PINE BELT MS/ - 60NNW SEM/SELMA AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /24NW SJI - 39SW VUZ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 30958983 33158850 33158625 30958764
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 25 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 25
VALID 061040Z - 061100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW MOB TO
40 W SEM TO 30 SSW BHM.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 25 MAY BE EXTENDED LOCALLY IN TIME
ANOTHER COUPLE OF HOURS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 87.
..KERR..02/06/20
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 25
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-015-019-021-023-025-029-047-085-091-097-099-105-115-
117-121-129-131-061100-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB CALHOUN
CHEROKEE CHILTON CHOCTAW
CLARKE CLEBURNE DALLAS
LOWNDES MARENGO MOBILE
MONROE PERRY ST. CLAIR
SHELBY TALLADEGA WASHINGTON
WILCOX
$$
MSC039-041-153-061100-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 25
VALID 060935Z - 061040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE PIB
TO 25 SE MEI TO 10 SE TCL AND 40 N GPT TO 35 SE MEI TO 15 ESE TCL.
..KERR..02/06/20
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 25
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-015-019-021-023-025-029-047-055-065-085-091-097-099-
105-115-117-121-129-131-061040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB CALHOUN
CHEROKEE CHILTON CHOCTAW
CLARKE CLEBURNE DALLAS
ETOWAH HALE LOWNDES
MARENGO MOBILE MONROE
PERRY ST. CLAIR SHELBY
TALLADEGA WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
MSC039-041-153-061040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 25
VALID 060900Z - 061040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE PIB
TO 25 SE MEI TO 10 SE TCL.
..KERR..02/06/20
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 25
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-003-007-015-019-021-023-025-029-047-055-063-065-085-091-
097-099-105-115-117-119-121-129-131-061040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BALDWIN BIBB
CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHILTON
CHOCTAW CLARKE CLEBURNE
DALLAS ETOWAH GREENE
HALE LOWNDES MARENGO
MOBILE MONROE PERRY
ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER
TALLADEGA WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
MSC039-041-153-061040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 25
VALID 060810Z - 060940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..02/06/20
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 25
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-003-007-021-023-025-047-063-065-085-091-097-099-105-117-
119-129-131-060940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BALDWIN BIBB
CHILTON CHOCTAW CLARKE
DALLAS GREENE HALE
LOWNDES MARENGO MOBILE
MONROE PERRY SHELBY
SUMTER WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
MSC023-035-039-041-067-073-075-111-131-153-060940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE FORREST GEORGE
GREENE JONES LAMAR
LAUDERDALE PERRY STONE
WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.