Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 700
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1040 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Far southern Arkansas
Louisiana
Western and central Mississippi
Far eastern Texas
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Monday morning and evening from 1040 AM until
600 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Several supercells are expected to develop and progress
east-northeast across the Sabine and Lower Mississippi Valleys this
afternoon. Tornadoes and damaging winds are anticipated, with the
peak tornado risk across portions of northern and central Louisiana
into western Mississippi.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles
east and west of a line from 25 miles west of Lafayette LA to 70
miles north northeast of Monroe LA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...Grams
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 700
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1040 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Far southern Arkansas
Louisiana
Western and central Mississippi
Far eastern Texas
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Monday morning and evening from 1040 AM until
600 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Several supercells are expected to develop and progress
east-northeast across the Sabine and Lower Mississippi Valleys this
afternoon. Tornadoes and damaging winds are anticipated, with the
peak tornado risk across portions of northern and central Louisiana
into western Mississippi.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles
east and west of a line from 25 miles west of Lafayette LA to 70
miles north northeast of Monroe LA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 700 TORNADO AR LA MS TX CW 161640Z - 170000Z
AXIS..100 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25W LFT/LAFAYETTE LA/ - 70NNE MLU/MONROE LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /37E LCH - 60ENE ELD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 30199406 33439330 33438983 30199072
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 700 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 700
VALID 162345Z - 170000Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE LCH
TO 40 ESE ESF TO 30 NNW MCB TO 75 NW PIB.
WW 700 WILL BE EXTENDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE ONGOING WATCH THROUGH
AT LEAST 02 UTC PER LOCAL NWS OFFICE COORDINATION.
..SMITH..12/16/19
ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...LCH...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 700
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-009-019-023-033-037-039-053-063-077-091-097-105-117-121-
125-170000-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA AVOYELLES CALCASIEU
CAMERON EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA
EVANGELINE JEFFERSON DAVIS LIVINGSTON
POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY
TANGIPAHOA WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC005-007-029-037-049-051-077-085-089-113-121-127-147-157-163-
170000-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMITE ATTALA COPIAH
FRANKLIN HINDS HOLMES
LAWRENCE LINCOLN MADISON
PIKE RANKIN SIMPSON
WALTHALL WILKINSON YAZOO
$$
GMZ432-170000-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CALCASIEU LAKE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 700
VALID 162255Z - 162340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW LCH
TO 10 SW HEZ TO 50 SSE GLH TO 20 SE GWO.
..SMITH..12/16/19
ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...LCH...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 700
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-019-023-029-033-037-039-053-063-077-091-097-105-
117-121-125-162340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
CALCASIEU CAMERON CONCORDIA
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE
JEFFERSON DAVIS LIVINGSTON POINTE COUPEE
ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY TANGIPAHOA
WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-007-021-029-037-049-051-063-077-085-089-113-121-127-
147-149-157-163-162340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CLAIBORNE COPIAH FRANKLIN
HINDS HOLMES JEFFERSON
LAWRENCE LINCOLN MADISON
PIKE RANKIN SIMPSON
WALTHALL WARREN WILKINSON
YAZOO
$$
GMZ432-162340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CALCASIEU LAKE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 700
VALID 162140Z - 162240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW BPT
TO 15 N ESF TO 20 ESE MLU TO 25 E GLH.
..MOSIER..12/16/19
ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...LCH...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 700
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-011-019-023-025-029-033-035-037-039-041-053-063-
065-077-079-083-091-097-105-107-117-121-125-162240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CAMERON
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST CARROLL EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE
FRANKLIN JEFFERSON DAVIS LIVINGSTON
MADISON POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES
RICHLAND ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY
TANGIPAHOA TENSAS WASHINGTON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-007-015-021-029-037-043-049-051-053-055-063-077-083-
085-089-097-113-121-125-127-147-149-157-163-162240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CARROLL CLAIBORNE COPIAH
FRANKLIN GRENADA HINDS
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE LEFLORE
LINCOLN MADISON MONTGOMERY
PIKE RANKIN SHARKEY
SIMPSON WALTHALL WARREN
WILKINSON YAZOO
$$
GMZ432-162240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CALCASIEU LAKE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 700
VALID 162045Z - 162140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N BPT TO
5 N GLH.
..MOSIER..12/16/19
ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...LCH...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 700
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC017-162140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHICOT
$$
LAC001-003-009-011-019-021-023-025-029-033-035-037-039-041-043-
053-059-063-065-067-077-079-083-091-097-105-107-115-117-121-123-
125-162140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CALDWELL
CAMERON CATAHOULA CONCORDIA
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL EAST FELICIANA
EVANGELINE FRANKLIN GRANT
JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE LIVINGSTON
MADISON MOREHOUSE POINTE COUPEE
RAPIDES RICHLAND ST. HELENA
ST. LANDRY TANGIPAHOA TENSAS
VERNON WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST CARROLL WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-007-011-015-021-029-037-043-049-051-053-055-063-077-
083-085-089-097-113-121-125-127-133-147-149-151-157-163-
162140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
BOLIVAR CARROLL CLAIBORNE
COPIAH FRANKLIN GRENADA
HINDS HOLMES HUMPHREYS
ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON LAWRENCE
LEFLORE LINCOLN MADISON
MONTGOMERY PIKE RANKIN
SHARKEY SIMPSON SUNFLOWER
WALTHALL WARREN WASHINGTON
WILKINSON YAZOO
$$
TXC245-351-361-162140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON NEWTON ORANGE
$$
GMZ430-432-162140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 700
VALID 161930Z - 162040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WNW POE
TO 15 SW LLQ.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2208
..MOSIER..12/16/19
ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...LCH...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 700
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-017-162040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY CHICOT
$$
LAC001-003-009-011-013-019-021-023-025-029-033-035-037-039-041-
043-049-053-059-061-063-065-067-069-073-077-079-083-085-091-097-
105-107-111-115-117-121-123-125-127-162040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE CALCASIEU
CALDWELL CAMERON CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL
EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE FRANKLIN
GRANT JACKSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
LA SALLE LINCOLN LIVINGSTON
MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES
OUACHITA POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES
RICHLAND SABINE ST. HELENA
ST. LANDRY TANGIPAHOA TENSAS
UNION VERNON WASHINGTON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST CARROLL WEST FELICIANA
WINN
$$
MSC001-005-007-011-015-021-029-037-043-049-051-053-055-063-077-
083-085-089-097-113-121-125-127-133-147-149-151-157-163-
162040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
BOLIVAR CARROLL CLAIBORNE
COPIAH FRANKLIN GRENADA
HINDS HOLMES HUMPHREYS
ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON LAWRENCE
LEFLORE LINCOLN MADISON
MONTGOMERY PIKE RANKIN
SHARKEY SIMPSON SUNFLOWER
WALTHALL WARREN WASHINGTON
WILKINSON YAZOO
$$
TXC199-241-245-351-361-403-457-162040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN JASPER JEFFERSON
NEWTON ORANGE SABINE
TYLER
$$
GMZ430-432-162040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 700
VALID 161840Z - 161940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2205
..MOSIER..12/16/19
ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...LCH...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 700
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-017-139-161940-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY CHICOT UNION
$$
LAC001-003-009-011-013-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-033-035-037-
039-041-043-049-053-059-061-063-065-067-069-073-077-079-081-083-
085-091-097-105-107-111-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-161940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE CALCASIEU
CALDWELL CAMERON CATAHOULA
CLAIBORNE CONCORDIA DE SOTO
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL EAST FELICIANA
EVANGELINE FRANKLIN GRANT
JACKSON JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE
LINCOLN LIVINGSTON MADISON
MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA
POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES RED RIVER
RICHLAND SABINE ST. HELENA
ST. LANDRY TANGIPAHOA TENSAS
UNION VERNON WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WEST BATON ROUGE WEST CARROLL
WEST FELICIANA WINN
$$
MSC001-005-007-011-015-021-029-037-043-049-051-053-055-063-077-
083-085-089-097-113-121-125-127-133-147-149-151-157-163-
161940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
BOLIVAR CARROLL CLAIBORNE
COPIAH FRANKLIN GRENADA
HINDS HOLMES HUMPHREYS
ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON LAWRENCE
LEFLORE LINCOLN MADISON
MONTGOMERY PIKE RANKIN
SHARKEY SIMPSON SUNFLOWER
WALTHALL WARREN WASHINGTON
WILKINSON YAZOO
$$
TXC199-241-245-351-361-403-405-419-457-161940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN JASPER JEFFERSON
NEWTON ORANGE SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY TYLER
$$
GMZ430-432-161940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.