Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 240
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast New Mexico
Southwest Texas
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 150 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to form across
the watch area this afternoon and early evening, posing a risk of
very large hail and damaging wind gusts. A tornado or two cannot be
ruled out.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles east northeast
of Hobbs NM to 30 miles west southwest of Dryden TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 238...WW 239...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
24030.
...Hart
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 240
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast New Mexico
Southwest Texas
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 150 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to form across
the watch area this afternoon and early evening, posing a risk of
very large hail and damaging wind gusts. A tornado or two cannot be
ruled out.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles east northeast
of Hobbs NM to 30 miles west southwest of Dryden TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 238...WW 239...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
24030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 240 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 251850Z - 260200Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40ENE HOB/HOBBS NM/ - 30WSW 6R6/DRYDEN TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM E/W /57NNW MAF - 67SSE FST/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 32900172 29870183 29870351 32900344
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 240 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 240
VALID 260005Z - 260140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE HOB TO
35 SW MAF TO 45 SE MAF.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 795
..SQUITIERI..05/26/19
ATTN...WFO...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 240
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-260140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
$$
TXC103-301-371-389-443-461-475-495-260140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRANE LOVING PECOS
REEVES TERRELL UPTON
WARD WINKLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 240
VALID 252040Z - 252140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 788
..NAUSLAR..05/25/19
ATTN...WFO...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 240
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-252140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
$$
TXC003-103-115-135-165-301-317-329-371-389-443-461-475-495-
252140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS CRANE DAWSON
ECTOR GAINES LOVING
MARTIN MIDLAND PECOS
REEVES TERRELL UPTON
WARD WINKLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.