Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 196
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
705 AM CDT Mon May 20 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme south-central Kansas
Northwestern Oklahoma
* Effective this Monday morning and afternoon from 705 AM until
100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A complex of elevated severe thunderstorms will move
eastward to east-northeastward out of the Texas Panhandle. This and
perhaps trailing convection will offering large hail and potentially
damaging gusts penetrating a shallow stable layer near the surface,
as it encounters a moistening and destabilizing air mass. Tornado
watch(es) may be needed for especially southern parts of the same
area later today, as that threat increases with approach of the warm
front.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 85 miles west southwest
of Alva OK to 35 miles northeast of Enid OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 195...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26035.
...Edwards
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 196
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
705 AM CDT Mon May 20 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme south-central Kansas
Northwestern Oklahoma
* Effective this Monday morning and afternoon from 705 AM until
100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A complex of elevated severe thunderstorms will move
eastward to east-northeastward out of the Texas Panhandle. This and
perhaps trailing convection will offering large hail and potentially
damaging gusts penetrating a shallow stable layer near the surface,
as it encounters a moistening and destabilizing air mass. Tornado
watch(es) may be needed for especially southern parts of the same
area later today, as that threat increases with approach of the warm
front.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 85 miles west southwest
of Alva OK to 35 miles northeast of Enid OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 195...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26035.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 196 SEVERE TSTM KS OK 201205Z - 201800Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
85WSW AVK/ALVA OK/ - 35NE END/ENID OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /10WSW MMB - 30NE END/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
LAT...LON 37000008 37439747 35979747 35560008
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 196 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 196
VALID 201540Z - 201640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MARSH..05/20/19
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-033-077-191-201640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER COMANCHE HARPER
SUMNER
$$
OKC003-011-039-043-045-047-053-059-071-073-083-093-103-119-129-
151-153-201640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD
GRANT HARPER KAY
KINGFISHER LOGAN MAJOR
NOBLE PAYNE ROGER MILLS
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 196
VALID 201340Z - 201440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KARSTENS..05/20/19
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-033-077-191-201440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER COMANCHE HARPER
SUMNER
$$
OKC003-011-039-043-045-047-053-059-073-083-093-129-151-153-
201440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD
GRANT HARPER KINGFISHER
LOGAN MAJOR ROGER MILLS
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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