SEL8

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 438
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   405 PM EST Fri Dec 14 2018

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Central Florida
     Coastal Waters

   * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 405 PM until
     1000 PM EST.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
     A tornado or two possible

   SUMMARY...A line of strong thunderstorms is approaching the west
   coast of central Florida.  These storms will move across the watch
   area, posing the risk of locally damaging wind gusts and perhaps a
   tornado.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
   statute miles north and south of a line from 80 miles east northeast
   of Saint Petersburg FL to 35 miles west northwest of Sarasota FL.
   For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
   outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
   cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
   24035.

   ...Hart

   SEL8

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 438
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   405 PM EST Fri Dec 14 2018

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Central Florida
     Coastal Waters

   * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 405 PM until
     1000 PM EST.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
     A tornado or two possible

   SUMMARY...A line of strong thunderstorms is approaching the west
   coast of central Florida.  These storms will move across the watch
   area, posing the risk of locally damaging wind gusts and perhaps a
   tornado.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
   statute miles north and south of a line from 80 miles east northeast
   of Saint Petersburg FL to 35 miles west northwest of Sarasota FL.
   For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
   outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
   cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
   24035.

   ...Hart

   WOUS64 KWNS 142101
   WOU8

   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 438
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   405 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2018

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 438 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EST
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

   FLC049-053-057-069-081-101-103-105-115-119-150300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0438.181214T2105Z-181215T0300Z/

   FL 
   .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   HARDEE               HERNANDO            HILLSBOROUGH        
   LAKE                 MANATEE             PASCO               
   PINELLAS             POLK                SARASOTA            
   SUMTER               


   GMZ830-850-853-150300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0438.181214T2105Z-181215T0300Z/

   CW 

   .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

   TAMPA BAY WATERS 

   COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM 

   COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM 

   ATTN...WFO...TBW...MLB...

   SAW8 
   WW 438 SEVERE TSTM FL CW 142105Z - 150300Z
   AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
   80ENE PIE/SAINT PETERSBURG FL/ - 35WNW SRQ/SARASOTA FL/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /13SSW ORL - 28SW PIE/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.

   LAT...LON 27628145 26878308 28318308 29078145

   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU8.

Watch 438 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 438

VALID 150225Z - 150300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

WW 438 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 150300Z.

..NAUSLAR..12/15/18

ATTN...WFO...TBW...MLB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 438 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC049-053-057-069-081-101-103-105-115-119-150300-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HARDEE		     HERNANDO		 HILLSBOROUGH	     
LAKE		     MANATEE		 PASCO		     
PINELLAS	     POLK		 SARASOTA	     
SUMTER		     
$$


GMZ830-853-150300-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

TAMPA BAY WATERS 

COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 438

VALID 150130Z - 150240Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1711

..NAUSLAR..12/15/18

ATTN...WFO...TBW...MLB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 438 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC049-053-057-069-081-101-103-105-115-119-150240-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HARDEE		     HERNANDO		 HILLSBOROUGH	     
LAKE		     MANATEE		 PASCO		     
PINELLAS	     POLK		 SARASOTA	     
SUMTER		     
$$


GMZ830-853-150240-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

TAMPA BAY WATERS 

COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 438

VALID 150035Z - 150140Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1711

..NAUSLAR..12/15/18

ATTN...WFO...TBW...MLB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 438 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC049-053-057-069-081-101-103-105-115-119-150140-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HARDEE		     HERNANDO		 HILLSBOROUGH	     
LAKE		     MANATEE		 PASCO		     
PINELLAS	     POLK		 SARASOTA	     
SUMTER		     
$$


GMZ830-850-853-150140-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

TAMPA BAY WATERS 

COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 438

VALID 142355Z - 150040Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1711

..NAUSLAR..12/14/18

ATTN...WFO...TBW...MLB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 438 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC049-053-057-069-081-101-103-105-115-119-150040-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HARDEE		     HERNANDO		 HILLSBOROUGH	     
LAKE		     MANATEE		 PASCO		     
PINELLAS	     POLK		 SARASOTA	     
SUMTER		     
$$


GMZ830-850-853-150040-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

TAMPA BAY WATERS 

COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 438

VALID 142230Z - 142340Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1710

..NAUSLAR..12/14/18

ATTN...WFO...TBW...MLB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 438 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC049-053-057-069-081-101-103-105-115-119-142340-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HARDEE		     HERNANDO		 HILLSBOROUGH	     
LAKE		     MANATEE		 PASCO		     
PINELLAS	     POLK		 SARASOTA	     
SUMTER		     
$$


GMZ830-850-853-142340-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

TAMPA BAY WATERS 

COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.