Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 132
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
235 PM CDT Tue May 29 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest Iowa
Central and Northeast Kansas
Northwest Missouri
Southeast Nebraska
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 235 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are expected to mature and
intensify into the evening hours. Large hail and locally damaging
winds should accompany convection as it spreads east this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles southwest of
Hutchinson KS to 30 miles north of Shenandoah IA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 130...WW 131...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27020.
...Darrow
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 132 SEVERE TSTM IA KS MO NE 291935Z - 300300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
60SW HUT/HUTCHINSON KS/ - 30N SDA/SHENANDOAH IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /54WSW ICT - 14E OVR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020.
LAT...LON 37459973 41189656 41189426 37459755
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 132 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 132
VALID 300120Z - 300240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W P28 TO
40 NNW P28 TO 20 SW HUT TO 20 SW CNK.
..WENDT..05/30/18
ATTN...WFO...OAX...ICT...TOP...DDC...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 132
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC013-017-027-029-041-061-079-085-111-113-115-117-127-131-143-
149-155-157-161-169-177-197-201-300240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CHASE CLAY
CLOUD DICKINSON GEARY
HARVEY JACKSON LYON
MCPHERSON MARION MARSHALL
MORRIS NEMAHA OTTAWA
POTTAWATOMIE RENO REPUBLIC
RILEY SALINE SHAWNEE
WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
$$
NEC095-300240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 132
VALID 300005Z - 300140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N CNK TO
15 NE STJ.
..WENDT..05/30/18
ATTN...WFO...OAX...ICT...TOP...DDC...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 132
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-013-017-027-029-041-053-061-079-085-097-105-111-113-115-
117-127-131-143-149-151-155-159-161-169-177-185-197-201-
300140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BROWN CHASE
CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON
ELLSWORTH GEARY HARVEY
JACKSON KIOWA LINCOLN
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MARSHALL MORRIS NEMAHA
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE PRATT
RENO RICE RILEY
SALINE SHAWNEE STAFFORD
WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 132
VALID 292310Z - 300040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 569
..WENDT..05/29/18
ATTN...WFO...OAX...ICT...TOP...DDC...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 132
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-129-137-145-155-300040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT MILLS MONTGOMERY
PAGE POTTAWATTAMIE
$$
KSC009-013-017-027-029-041-047-053-057-061-069-079-083-085-097-
105-111-113-115-117-119-127-131-135-143-145-149-151-155-159-161-
165-169-177-185-197-201-300040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BROWN CHASE
CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON
EDWARDS ELLSWORTH FORD
GEARY GRAY HARVEY
HODGEMAN JACKSON KIOWA
LINCOLN LYON MCPHERSON
MARION MARSHALL MEADE
MORRIS NEMAHA NESS
OTTAWA PAWNEE POTTAWATOMIE
PRATT RENO RICE
RILEY RUSH SALINE
SHAWNEE STAFFORD WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON
$$
MOC005-087-147-300040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON HOLT NODAWAY
$$
NEC025-055-067-097-127-131-133-147-153-300040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS DOUGLAS GAGE
JOHNSON NEMAHA OTOE
PAWNEE RICHARDSON SARPY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 132
VALID 292310Z - 300040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 569
..WENDT..05/29/18
ATTN...WFO...OAX...ICT...TOP...DDC...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 132
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-129-137-145-155-300040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT MILLS MONTGOMERY
PAGE POTTAWATTAMIE
$$
KSC009-013-017-027-029-041-047-053-057-061-079-085-097-105-111-
113-115-117-119-127-131-143-145-149-151-155-159-161-169-177-185-
197-201-300040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BROWN CHASE
CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON
EDWARDS ELLSWORTH FORD
GEARY HARVEY JACKSON
KIOWA LINCOLN LYON
MCPHERSON MARION MARSHALL
MEADE MORRIS NEMAHA
OTTAWA PAWNEE POTTAWATOMIE
PRATT RENO RICE
RILEY SALINE SHAWNEE
STAFFORD WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
$$
MOC005-087-147-300040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON HOLT NODAWAY
$$
NEC025-055-067-097-127-131-133-147-153-300040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS DOUGLAS GAGE
JOHNSON NEMAHA OTOE
PAWNEE RICHARDSON SARPY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.