Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 114
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
540 PM MDT Mon May 21 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South Central New Mexico
Far West Texas
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 540 PM until
1100 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are intensifying over parts of New Mexico
and Northern Mexico. These storms will spread across the watch
area this evening, posing a risk of isolated large hail and damaging
winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 95 miles northeast of
Corona NM to 70 miles south southeast of El Paso TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 112...WW 113...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23030.
...Hart
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 114
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
540 PM MDT Mon May 21 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South Central New Mexico
Far West Texas
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 540 PM until
1100 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are intensifying over parts of New Mexico
and Northern Mexico. These storms will spread across the watch
area this evening, posing a risk of isolated large hail and damaging
winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 95 miles northeast of
Corona NM to 70 miles south southeast of El Paso TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 112...WW 113...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 114 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 212340Z - 220500Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
95NE 4CR/CORONA NM/ - 70SSE ELP/EL PASO TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM E/W /44W TCC - 60SSE ELP/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
LAT...LON 35060361 30860508 30860676 35060537
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 114 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 114
VALID 220435Z - 220500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 E GDP TO
35 ENE SRR TO 70 ENE 4CR TO 15 WSW TCC.
WW 114 WILL LIKELY EXPIRE AT 220500Z.
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS MAY PERSIST BEYOND 05Z, THOUGH A FURTHER
STRENGTHENING OF INHIBITION SHOULD AID IN ADDITIONAL WANING OF
THE SEVERE-WEATHER THREAT.
..PETERS..05/22/18
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 114
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-011-220500-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES DE BACA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 114
VALID 220330Z - 220440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 SSE ELP
TO 40 NNE ELP TO 35 NW ALM AND 85 SSE ELP TO 30 ESE ALM TO 10 WNW
SRR TO 15 NNE 4CR TO 25 N 4CR TO 35 NW 4CR TO 30 NE ONM.
..COOK..05/22/18
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 114
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-011-019-027-035-057-220440-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES DE BACA GUADALUPE
LINCOLN OTERO TORRANCE
$$
TXC229-220440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HUDSPETH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 114
VALID 220235Z - 220340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 SSE ELP
TO 40 NNE ELP TO 35 NW ALM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 487
..COOK..05/22/18
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 114
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-011-019-027-035-057-220340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES DE BACA GUADALUPE
LINCOLN OTERO TORRANCE
$$
TXC229-220340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HUDSPETH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 114
VALID 220130Z - 220240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COOK..05/22/18
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 114
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-011-019-027-035-057-220240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES DE BACA GUADALUPE
LINCOLN OTERO TORRANCE
$$
TXC141-229-220240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EL PASO HUDSPETH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.