Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 155
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN ARKANSAS
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA
PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE I-35
CORRIDOR FROM SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LARGE HAIL WILL BE COMMON WITH THIS ACTIVITY
AND A FEW TORNADOES...POSSIBLY STRONG...ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS
AFTERNOON. SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO SOUTHWESTERN
ARKANSAS THIS EVENING.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
ARDMORE OKLAHOMA TO 55 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF DE QUEEN ARKANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 154...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...DARROW
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 155 TORNADO AR OK TX 091930Z - 100200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30SW ADM/ARDMORE OK/ - 55ENE DEQ/DE QUEEN AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /18SW ADM - 58NNE TXK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 34849738 35229351 33479351 33119738
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 155 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 155
VALID 100020Z - 100140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N DAL TO
35 ENE DUA TO 15 NW MLC.
..GUYER..05/10/16
ATTN...WFO...TSA...SHV...LZK...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 155
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC033-057-061-081-091-097-109-113-127-131-133-100140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD HEMPSTEAD HOWARD
LITTLE RIVER MILLER MONTGOMERY
PIKE POLK SCOTT
SEBASTIAN SEVIER
$$
OKC005-013-023-029-037-061-077-079-089-091-101-107-111-113-117-
121-127-135-143-100140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
COAL CREEK HASKELL
LATIMER LE FLORE MCCURTAIN
MCINTOSH MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE
OKMULGEE OSAGE PAWNEE
PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA SEQUOYAH
TULSA
$$
TXC037-119-147-277-387-100140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE DELTA FANNIN
LAMAR RED RIVER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 155
VALID 092155Z - 092240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COOK..05/09/16
ATTN...WFO...TSA...SHV...LZK...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 155
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC033-057-061-081-091-097-109-113-127-131-133-092240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD HEMPSTEAD HOWARD
LITTLE RIVER MILLER MONTGOMERY
PIKE POLK SCOTT
SEBASTIAN SEVIER
$$
OKC005-013-019-023-029-049-061-067-069-077-079-085-089-095-099-
121-123-127-135-137-092240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL GARVIN
HASKELL JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
LATIMER LE FLORE LOVE
MCCURTAIN MARSHALL MURRAY
PITTSBURG PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA
SEQUOYAH STEPHENS
$$
TXC037-097-119-147-181-277-387-092240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE COOKE DELTA
FANNIN GRAYSON LAMAR
RED RIVER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 155
VALID 092030Z - 092140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..05/09/16
ATTN...WFO...TSA...SHV...LZK...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 155
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC033-057-061-081-091-097-109-113-127-131-133-092140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD HEMPSTEAD HOWARD
LITTLE RIVER MILLER MONTGOMERY
PIKE POLK SCOTT
SEBASTIAN SEVIER
$$
OKC005-013-019-023-029-049-061-067-069-077-079-085-089-095-099-
121-123-127-135-137-092140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL GARVIN
HASKELL JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
LATIMER LE FLORE LOVE
MCCURTAIN MARSHALL MURRAY
PITTSBURG PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA
SEQUOYAH STEPHENS
$$
TXC037-097-119-147-181-277-387-092140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE COOKE DELTA
FANNIN GRAYSON LAMAR
RED RIVER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.