Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 425
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
505 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND EASTER KENTUCKY
WESTERN VIRGINIA
SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 505 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT
EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...EAST-WEST SQUALL LINE THAT HAS FORMED OVER SOUTHERN OHIO
WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE OH RIVER ACROSS WV AND NORTHERN AND EASTERN
KY LATER THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH
THIS SQUALL LINE.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES WEST OF
LEXINGTON KENTUCKY TO 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BECKLEY WEST
VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 421...WW 422...WW
423...WW 424...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29035.
...DARROW
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 425 SEVERE TSTM KY VA WV 142105Z - 150400Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
50W LEX/LEXINGTON KY/ - 10SE BKW/BECKLEY WV/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM EITHER SIDE /5SSE IIU - 9SE BKW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035.
LAT...LON 38668544 38338091 37028106 37388559
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 425 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 425
VALID 150155Z - 150240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE SDF
TO 25 SE JKL TO 50 N TRI.
..GUYER..07/15/15
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 425
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC013-025-051-065-095-109-119-121-125-129-131-133-147-189-193-
199-203-231-235-150240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BREATHITT CLAY
ESTILL HARLAN JACKSON
KNOTT KNOX LAUREL
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
MCCREARY OWSLEY PERRY
PULASKI ROCKCASTLE WAYNE
WHITLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
