Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 243
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL INTO NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING FROM 135 AM UNTIL 1000 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...MCS NOW EXITING THE TX SOUTH PLAINS SHOULD MOVE/DEVELOP
GENERALLY ESE THROUGH SUNRISE...WITH SOME ATTENDANT RISK FOR HAIL
AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH OF
BIG SPRING TEXAS TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF FORT WORTH TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 242...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29025.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 243 SEVERE TSTM TX 300635Z - 301500Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
45S BGS/BIG SPRING TX/ - 35SSE FTW/FORT WORTH TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /44SE MAF - 32S TTT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.
LAT...LON 32720150 33509713 31199713 30400150
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 243 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 243
VALID 301030Z - 301140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE BWD
TO 45 NW MWL.
..KERR..05/30/15
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 243
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-035-093-099-133-143-193-217-221-237-251-267-281-309-319-
333-363-367-411-425-429-497-503-301140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE COMANCHE
CORYELL EASTLAND ERATH
HAMILTON HILL HOOD
JACK JOHNSON KIMBLE
LAMPASAS MCLENNAN MASON
MILLS PALO PINTO PARKER
SAN SABA SOMERVELL STEPHENS
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 243
VALID 300935Z - 301040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NE 6R6 TO
20 NE JCT TO 30 W SEP TO 55 WNW MWL.
..KERR..05/30/15
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 243
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-035-049-093-099-105-133-143-193-217-221-237-251-267-281-
307-309-319-327-333-363-367-411-413-425-429-435-497-503-
301040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE BROWN
COMANCHE CORYELL CROCKETT
EASTLAND ERATH HAMILTON
HILL HOOD JACK
JOHNSON KIMBLE LAMPASAS
MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN MASON
MENARD MILLS PALO PINTO
PARKER SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SOMERVELL STEPHENS SUTTON
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 243
VALID 300830Z - 300940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WSW SJT
TO 35 WSW BWD TO 55 NNE ABI.
..KERR..05/30/15
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 243
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-035-049-059-081-083-093-095-099-105-133-143-193-207-217-
221-235-237-251-253-267-281-307-309-319-327-333-353-363-367-399-
411-413-417-425-429-431-435-441-447-451-497-503-300940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE BROWN
CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN
COMANCHE CONCHO CORYELL
CROCKETT EASTLAND ERATH
HAMILTON HASKELL HILL
HOOD IRION JACK
JOHNSON JONES KIMBLE
LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN
MASON MENARD MILLS
NOLAN PALO PINTO PARKER
RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SHACKELFORD SOMERVELL STEPHENS
STERLING SUTTON TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN WISE
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 243
VALID 300725Z - 300840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..05/30/15
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 243
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-035-049-059-081-083-093-095-099-105-133-143-193-207-217-
221-235-237-251-253-267-281-307-309-319-327-333-353-363-367-399-
411-413-417-425-429-431-435-441-447-451-497-503-300840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE BROWN
CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN
COMANCHE CONCHO CORYELL
CROCKETT EASTLAND ERATH
HAMILTON HASKELL HILL
HOOD IRION JACK
JOHNSON JONES KIMBLE
LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN
MASON MENARD MILLS
NOLAN PALO PINTO PARKER
RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SHACKELFORD SOMERVELL STEPHENS
STERLING SUTTON TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN WISE
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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