Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 82
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
500 PM EDT SUN APR 19 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 500 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER SC WILL TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS
THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...POSING A CONTINUED RISK
OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND/OR BRIEF TORNADOES.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH OF SOUTHERN
PINES NORTH CAROLINA TO 50 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF MYRTLE BEACH
SOUTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 79...WW 80...WW 81...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 82 TORNADO NC SC CW 192100Z - 200300Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45N SOP/SOUTHERN PINES NC/ - 50WSW CRE/MYRTLE BEACH SC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM E/W /29W RDU - 34NNE CHS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 35867848 33407886 33408059 35868026
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 82 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 82
VALID 192340Z - 200040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE CHS TO
25 SW GSO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 384.
..GRAMS..04/19/15
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 82
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC037-051-057-085-093-101-105-123-125-151-153-155-163-165-191-
200040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHATHAM CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON
HARNETT HOKE JOHNSTON
LEE MONTGOMERY MOORE
RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROBESON
SAMPSON SCOTLAND WAYNE
$$
SCC033-041-043-051-067-069-200040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DILLON FLORENCE GEORGETOWN
HORRY MARION MARLBORO
$$
AMZ254-256-200040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 82
VALID 192235Z - 192340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GRAMS..04/19/15
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 82
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC007-037-051-057-085-093-105-123-125-151-153-155-165-167-
192340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANSON CHATHAM CUMBERLAND
DAVIDSON HARNETT HOKE
LEE MONTGOMERY MOORE
RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROBESON
SCOTLAND STANLY
$$
SCC031-033-041-043-051-067-069-089-192340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DARLINGTON DILLON FLORENCE
GEORGETOWN HORRY MARION
MARLBORO WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ254-256-192340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 82
VALID 192155Z - 192240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..04/19/15
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 82
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC007-037-051-057-085-093-105-123-125-151-153-155-165-167-
192240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANSON CHATHAM CUMBERLAND
DAVIDSON HARNETT HOKE
LEE MONTGOMERY MOORE
RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROBESON
SCOTLAND STANLY
$$
SCC031-033-041-043-051-067-069-089-192240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DARLINGTON DILLON FLORENCE
GEORGETOWN HORRY MARION
MARLBORO WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ254-256-192240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.