Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 73
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
225 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN OKLAHOMA
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AND THE EASTERN PANHANDLE
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 225 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...ISOLATED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM
ALONG THE DRYLINE ALONG THE TX/OK BORDER THIS AFTERNOON AND TRACK
EASTWARD INTO WESTERN OK. STRENGTHENING SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE WINDS
MAY AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES...ALONG WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN THE STRONGER STORMS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
ALVA OKLAHOMA TO 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WICHITA FALLS TEXAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 72...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 73 TORNADO OK TX 181925Z - 190200Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35WNW AVK/ALVA OK/ - 55SW SPS/WICHITA FALLS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /48NE MMB - 46SW SPS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 36959826 33409822 33400012 36950025
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 73 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 73
VALID 190035Z - 190140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 362
..COHEN..04/19/15
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 73
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-009-011-015-031-033-039-043-045-047-053-055-057-059-065-
075-093-129-141-149-151-153-190140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE
CADDO COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GARFIELD GRANT GREER
HARMON HARPER JACKSON
KIOWA MAJOR ROGER MILLS
TILLMAN WASHITA WOODS
WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-075-077-087-101-155-197-211-269-275-295-483-485-487-
190140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
CLAY COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
FOARD HARDEMAN HEMPHILL
KING KNOX LIPSCOMB
WHEELER WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 73
VALID 190015Z - 190140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 362
..COHEN..04/19/15
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 73
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-009-011-015-031-033-039-043-045-047-053-055-057-059-065-
075-093-129-141-149-151-153-190140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE
CADDO COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GARFIELD GRANT GREER
HARMON HARPER JACKSON
KIOWA MAJOR ROGER MILLS
TILLMAN WASHITA WOODS
WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-075-077-087-101-155-197-211-269-275-295-483-485-487-
190140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
CLAY COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
FOARD HARDEMAN HEMPHILL
KING KNOX LIPSCOMB
WHEELER WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 73
VALID 182230Z - 182340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..04/18/15
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 73
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-009-011-015-031-033-039-043-045-055-057-059-065-075-093-
129-141-149-151-153-182340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE
CADDO COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GREER HARMON HARPER
JACKSON KIOWA MAJOR
ROGER MILLS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-075-077-087-101-155-197-211-269-275-295-483-485-487-
182340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
CLAY COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
FOARD HARDEMAN HEMPHILL
KING KNOX LIPSCOMB
WHEELER WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 73
VALID 182035Z - 182140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..04/18/15
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 73
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-009-011-015-031-033-039-043-045-055-057-059-065-075-093-
129-141-149-151-153-182140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE
CADDO COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GREER HARMON HARPER
JACKSON KIOWA MAJOR
ROGER MILLS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-075-077-087-101-155-197-211-269-275-295-483-485-487-
182140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
CLAY COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
FOARD HARDEMAN HEMPHILL
KING KNOX LIPSCOMB
WHEELER WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.