Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 40
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
225 PM EDT THU APR 9 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHERN OHIO
WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 225 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF
LEXINGTON KENTUCKY TO 50 MILES EAST OF PARKERSBURG WEST VIRGINIA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 39...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS ALONG THE OHIO VALLEY
WILL POSE A RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...GRAMS/CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 40 SEVERE TSTM KY OH WV 091825Z - 100200Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
35NW LEX/LEXINGTON KY/ - 50E PKB/PARKERSBURG WV/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM EITHER SIDE /30NE IIU - 32NW EKN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 39168526 40118070 38568027 37618484
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 40 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 40
VALID 100135Z - 100200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW EKN
TO 25 SSE PKB TO 25 SE ZZV.
WW 40 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 100200Z.
..PICCA..04/10/15
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 40
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WVC001-017-021-033-041-073-085-091-095-100200-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR DODDRIDGE GILMER
HARRISON LEWIS PLEASANTS
RITCHIE TAYLOR TYLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 40
VALID 100025Z - 100140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE CRW
TO 40 NNW HTS TO 35 SE DAY.
..PICCA..04/10/15
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 40
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OHC009-041-045-047-049-053-073-079-089-097-105-115-127-129-141-
159-163-167-100140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATHENS DELAWARE FAIRFIELD
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GALLIA
HOCKING JACKSON LICKING
MADISON MEIGS MORGAN
PERRY PICKAWAY ROSS
UNION VINTON WASHINGTON
$$
WVC001-013-017-021-033-035-039-041-053-073-079-085-087-091-095-
105-107-100140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR CALHOUN DODDRIDGE
GILMER HARRISON JACKSON
KANAWHA LEWIS MASON
PLEASANTS PUTNAM RITCHIE
ROANE TAYLOR TYLER
WIRT WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 40
VALID 092335Z - 100040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE CRW
TO 55 SE IND.
..PICCA..04/09/15
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 40
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC019-043-089-127-135-161-100040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOYD CARTER GREENUP
LAWRENCE LEWIS MASON
$$
OHC001-009-015-017-021-023-025-027-041-045-047-049-053-057-061-
071-073-079-087-089-097-105-113-115-127-129-131-141-145-159-163-
165-167-100040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATHENS BROWN
BUTLER CHAMPAIGN CLARK
CLERMONT CLINTON DELAWARE
FAIRFIELD FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GALLIA GREENE HAMILTON
HIGHLAND HOCKING JACKSON
LAWRENCE LICKING MADISON
MEIGS MONTGOMERY MORGAN
PERRY PICKAWAY PIKE
ROSS SCIOTO UNION
VINTON WARREN WASHINGTON
$$
WVC001-005-011-013-017-021-033-035-039-041-043-045-053-059-073-
079-085-087-091-095-099-105-107-100040-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BOONE CABELL
CALHOUN DODDRIDGE GILMER
HARRISON JACKSON KANAWHA
LEWIS LINCOLN LOGAN
MASON MINGO PLEASANTS
PUTNAM RITCHIE ROANE
TAYLOR TYLER WAYNE
WIRT WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 40
VALID 092230Z - 092340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE CRW
TO 55 E BMG.
..PICCA..04/09/15
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 40
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC029-115-137-155-092340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DEARBORN OHIO RIPLEY
SWITZERLAND
$$
KYC011-015-019-023-037-041-043-063-069-077-081-089-115-117-127-
135-159-161-165-173-175-187-191-201-205-092340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BOONE BOYD
BRACKEN CAMPBELL CARROLL
CARTER ELLIOTT FLEMING
GALLATIN GRANT GREENUP
JOHNSON KENTON LAWRENCE
LEWIS MARTIN MASON
MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON
ROWAN
$$
OHC001-009-015-017-021-023-025-027-041-045-047-049-053-057-061-
071-073-079-087-089-097-105-113-115-127-129-131-141-145-159-163-
165-167-092340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATHENS BROWN
BUTLER CHAMPAIGN CLARK
CLERMONT CLINTON DELAWARE
FAIRFIELD FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GALLIA GREENE HAMILTON
HIGHLAND HOCKING JACKSON
LAWRENCE LICKING MADISON
MEIGS MONTGOMERY MORGAN
PERRY PICKAWAY PIKE
ROSS SCIOTO UNION
VINTON WARREN WASHINGTON
$$
WVC001-005-011-013-017-021-033-035-039-041-043-045-053-059-073-
079-085-087-091-095-099-105-107-092340-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BOONE CABELL
CALHOUN DODDRIDGE GILMER
HARRISON JACKSON KANAWHA
LEWIS LINCOLN LOGAN
MASON MINGO PLEASANTS
PUTNAM RITCHIE ROANE
TAYLOR TYLER WAYNE
WIRT WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 40
VALID 092030Z - 092140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 250
..COOK..04/09/15
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 40
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC005-011-017-019-023-037-043-049-063-067-069-073-081-089-097-
103-115-127-135-159-161-165-173-175-181-187-191-201-205-209-211-
239-092140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BATH BOURBON
BOYD BRACKEN CAMPBELL
CARTER CLARK ELLIOTT
FAYETTE FLEMING FRANKLIN
GRANT GREENUP HARRISON
HENRY JOHNSON LAWRENCE
LEWIS MARTIN MASON
MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
NICHOLAS OWEN PENDLETON
ROBERTSON ROWAN SCOTT
SHELBY WOODFORD
$$
OHC001-009-013-015-025-027-045-047-053-059-071-073-079-087-105-
111-115-119-121-127-129-131-141-145-163-167-092140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATHENS BELMONT
BROWN CLERMONT CLINTON
FAIRFIELD FAYETTE GALLIA
GUERNSEY HIGHLAND HOCKING
JACKSON LAWRENCE MEIGS
MONROE MORGAN MUSKINGUM
NOBLE PERRY PICKAWAY
PIKE ROSS SCIOTO
VINTON WASHINGTON
$$
WVC005-011-013-017-021-035-039-043-045-051-053-059-073-079-085-
087-095-099-103-105-107-092140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE CABELL CALHOUN
DODDRIDGE GILMER JACKSON
KANAWHA LINCOLN LOGAN
MARSHALL MASON MINGO
PLEASANTS PUTNAM RITCHIE
ROANE TYLER WAYNE
WETZEL WIRT WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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