Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 566
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
425 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FAR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY
CENTRAL AND EASTERN OHIO
LAKE ERIE
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON FROM 425 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS LIKELY WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ATHENS
OHIO TO 25 MILES NORTHWEST OF CLEVELAND OHIO. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 562...WW 563...WW
564...WW 565...
DISCUSSION...A FAST-MOVING CONVECTIVE BAND WITH EMBEDDED BOWING AND
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES OVER INDIANA IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY EVOLVE
INTO A FORCED SQUALL LINE ALONG THE COLD FRONT LATER THIS EVENING
INTO TONIGHT. WHILE CORRIDORS OF POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT WIND
DAMAGE WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD...A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
300. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24055.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 566 TORNADO KY OH LE 172125Z - 180500Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
65SW UNI/ATHENS OH/ - 25NW CLE/CLEVELAND OH/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /51WSW HNN - 21NW CLE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 300. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24055.
LAT...LON 38548447 41668363 41668073 38548169
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 566 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 566
VALID 180255Z - 180340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW LUK
TO 50 ENE LUK TO 30 NNW CLE AND 15 N HTS TO 30 NNE PKB.
..ROGERS..11/18/13
ATTN...WFO...RLX...ILN...CLE...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 566
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OHC013-019-029-059-067-081-111-119-121-157-180340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELMONT CARROLL COLUMBIANA
GUERNSEY HARRISON JEFFERSON
MONROE MUSKINGUM NOBLE
TUSCARAWAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 566
VALID 180155Z - 180240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW LUK
TO 50 ENE LUK TO 30 NNW CLE AND 55 SE LUK TO 15 WSW UNI TO 10 ENE
CAK TO 40 NNW YNG.
..ROGERS..11/18/13
ATTN...WFO...RLX...ILN...CLE...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 566
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC089-135-180240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREENUP LEWIS
$$
OHC007-009-013-019-029-053-059-067-079-081-087-099-105-111-115-
119-121-133-145-151-155-157-163-167-180240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHTABULA ATHENS BELMONT
CARROLL COLUMBIANA GALLIA
GUERNSEY HARRISON JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE MAHONING
MEIGS MONROE MORGAN
MUSKINGUM NOBLE PORTAGE
SCIOTO STARK TRUMBULL
TUSCARAWAS VINTON WASHINGTON
$$
LEZ148-168-180240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 566
VALID 180045Z - 180140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW LUK
TO 50 ENE LUK TO 30 NNW CLE.
..ROGERS..11/18/13
ATTN...WFO...RLX...ILN...CLE...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 566
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC089-135-161-201-180140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREENUP LEWIS MASON
ROBERTSON
$$
OHC001-005-007-009-013-015-019-029-031-035-041-045-049-053-055-
059-067-071-073-075-079-081-083-085-087-089-093-099-103-105-111-
115-117-119-121-127-129-131-133-139-141-145-151-153-155-157-163-
167-169-180140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ASHLAND ASHTABULA
ATHENS BELMONT BROWN
CARROLL COLUMBIANA COSHOCTON
CUYAHOGA DELAWARE FAIRFIELD
FRANKLIN GALLIA GEAUGA
GUERNSEY HARRISON HIGHLAND
HOCKING HOLMES JACKSON
JEFFERSON KNOX LAKE
LAWRENCE LICKING LORAIN
MAHONING MEDINA MEIGS
MONROE MORGAN MORROW
MUSKINGUM NOBLE PERRY
PICKAWAY PIKE PORTAGE
RICHLAND ROSS SCIOTO
STARK SUMMIT TRUMBULL
TUSCARAWAS VINTON WASHINGTON
WAYNE
$$
LEZ144-145-146-147-148-165-166-167-168-180140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 566
VALID 172345Z - 180040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW FDY
TO 30 SSE DTW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2024
..ROGERS..11/17/13
ATTN...WFO...RLX...ILN...CLE...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 566
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC089-135-161-201-180040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREENUP LEWIS MASON
ROBERTSON
$$
OHC001-005-007-009-013-015-019-021-023-027-029-031-033-035-041-
043-045-047-049-053-055-057-059-063-065-067-071-073-075-077-079-
081-083-085-087-089-091-093-097-099-101-103-105-111-115-117-119-
121-123-127-129-131-133-139-141-143-145-147-151-153-155-157-159-
163-167-169-175-180040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ASHLAND ASHTABULA
ATHENS BELMONT BROWN
CARROLL CHAMPAIGN CLARK
CLINTON COLUMBIANA COSHOCTON
CRAWFORD CUYAHOGA DELAWARE
ERIE FAIRFIELD FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GALLIA GEAUGA
GREENE GUERNSEY HANCOCK
HARDIN HARRISON HIGHLAND
HOCKING HOLMES HURON
JACKSON JEFFERSON KNOX
LAKE LAWRENCE LICKING
LOGAN LORAIN MADISON
MAHONING MARION MEDINA
MEIGS MONROE MORGAN
MORROW MUSKINGUM NOBLE
OTTAWA PERRY PICKAWAY
PIKE PORTAGE RICHLAND
ROSS SANDUSKY SCIOTO
SENECA STARK SUMMIT
TRUMBULL TUSCARAWAS UNION
VINTON WASHINGTON WAYNE
WYANDOT
$$
LEZ143-144-145-146-147-148-163-164-165-166-167-168-180040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 566
VALID 172235Z - 172340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..11/17/13
ATTN...WFO...RLX...ILN...CLE...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 566
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC089-135-161-201-172340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREENUP LEWIS MASON
ROBERTSON
$$
OHC001-005-007-009-013-015-019-021-023-027-029-031-033-035-041-
043-045-047-049-053-055-057-059-063-065-067-071-073-075-077-079-
081-083-085-087-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-111-115-117-
119-121-123-127-129-131-133-139-141-143-145-147-151-153-155-157-
159-163-167-169-173-175-172340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ASHLAND ASHTABULA
ATHENS BELMONT BROWN
CARROLL CHAMPAIGN CLARK
CLINTON COLUMBIANA COSHOCTON
CRAWFORD CUYAHOGA DELAWARE
ERIE FAIRFIELD FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GALLIA GEAUGA
GREENE GUERNSEY HANCOCK
HARDIN HARRISON HIGHLAND
HOCKING HOLMES HURON
JACKSON JEFFERSON KNOX
LAKE LAWRENCE LICKING
LOGAN LORAIN LUCAS
MADISON MAHONING MARION
MEDINA MEIGS MONROE
MORGAN MORROW MUSKINGUM
NOBLE OTTAWA PERRY
PICKAWAY PIKE PORTAGE
RICHLAND ROSS SANDUSKY
SCIOTO SENECA STARK
SUMMIT TRUMBULL TUSCARAWAS
UNION VINTON WASHINGTON
WAYNE WOOD WYANDOT
$$
LEZ142-143-144-145-146-147-148-162-163-164-165-166-167-168-
172340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH
DETROIT RIVER LT. TO MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH BEYOND 5NM
OFFSHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.