Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 260
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
215 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST KANSAS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 215 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS LIKELY WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
JEFFERSON CITY MISSOURI TO 50 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF JOPLIN
MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO INTENSIFY OVER SOUTHEAST
KS AND WESTERN/CENTRAL MO. STORMS WILL LIKELY BECOME SEVERE OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS WITH THE RISK OF A FEW SUPERCELL STORMS.
LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE THREAT OF A
FEW TORNADOES /PERHAPS STRONG/. HIGH CAPE VALUES AND STEEP MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL ALSO POSE A RISK OF VERY LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 260 TORNADO KS MO 311915Z - 010300Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20SE JEF/JEFFERSON CITY MO/ - 50WNW JLN/JOPLIN MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /30SSE COU - 18NNW OSW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 37599188 36639533 38229533 39189188
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 260 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 260
VALID 312240Z - 312340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..05/31/13
ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 260
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-011-021-037-099-107-125-133-205-312340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHEROKEE
CRAWFORD LABETTE LINN
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON
$$
MOC011-013-015-019-027-029-039-051-053-057-059-077-083-085-097-
101-105-109-125-131-135-141-151-159-161-167-169-185-217-225-
312340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BATES BENTON
BOONE CALLAWAY CAMDEN
CEDAR COLE COOPER
DADE DALLAS GREENE
HENRY HICKORY JASPER
JOHNSON LACLEDE LAWRENCE
MARIES MILLER MONITEAU
MORGAN OSAGE PETTIS
PHELPS POLK PULASKI
ST. CLAIR VERNON WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 260
VALID 312045Z - 312140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GRAMS..05/31/13
ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 260
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-011-021-037-099-107-125-133-205-312140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHEROKEE
CRAWFORD LABETTE LINN
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON
$$
MOC011-013-015-019-027-029-039-051-053-057-059-077-083-085-097-
101-105-109-125-131-135-141-151-159-161-167-169-185-217-225-
312140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BATES BENTON
BOONE CALLAWAY CAMDEN
CEDAR COLE COOPER
DADE DALLAS GREENE
HENRY HICKORY JASPER
JOHNSON LACLEDE LAWRENCE
MARIES MILLER MONITEAU
MORGAN OSAGE PETTIS
PHELPS POLK PULASKI
ST. CLAIR VERNON WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.