Storm Prediction Center Tornado Watch 313

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Moderate	Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
Moderate	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Moderate	Low

Note: The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

   SEL3
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 313...RESENT
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1230 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          EXTREME WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS
          EASTERN NEW YORK
          VERMONT
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM UNTIL
   900 PM EDT.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH OF GLENS FALLS
   NEW YORK TO 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF BURLINGTON VERMONT.  FOR
   A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 312...
   
   DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WITHIN AN ENHANCED
   CU/TCU FIELD WITHIN THE NEXT 1-2 HRS...AND CONTINUED HEATING OCCURS
   AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  A VERY UNSTABLE
   ENVIRONMENT WITH MUCAPE OF 2000-3000 J/KG AND 30-40 KT DEEP LAYER
   SHEAR WILL PROMOTE SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS WITH
   POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  SOUTHERLY LOW
   LEVEL WINDS OVER THE HUDSON VALLEY AND EAST INTO VT WILL ALSO
   ENHANCE LOW LEVEL SHEAR SUGGESTING THREAT FOR A FEW TORNADOES THIS
   AFTERNOON.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
   
   
   ...WEISS

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Moderate	Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
Moderate	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Moderate	Low

Note: See the experimental Public Watch (SEL) product with explicit hazard information section below. The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

   SEL3
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 313
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1230 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          EXTREME WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS
          EASTERN NEW YORK
          VERMONT
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM UNTIL
   900 PM EDT.
   
   ISOLATED TORNADOES
   SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH
   SCATTERED LARGE HAIL TO 2.0 INCHES IN DIAMETER
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH OF GLENS FALLS
   NEW YORK TO 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF BURLINGTON VERMONT.  FOR
   A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 312...
   
   DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WITHIN AN ENHANCED
   CU/TCU FIELD WITHIN THE NEXT 1-2 HRS...AND CONTINUED HEATING OCCURS
   AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  A VERY UNSTABLE
   ENVIRONMENT WITH MUCAPE OF 2000-3000 J/KG AND 30-40 KT DEEP LAYER
   SHEAR WILL PROMOTE SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS WITH
   POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  SOUTHERLY LOW
   LEVEL WINDS OVER THE HUDSON VALLEY AND EAST INTO VT WILL ALSO
   ENHANCE LOW LEVEL SHEAR SUGGESTING THREAT FOR A FEW TORNADOES THIS
   AFTERNOON.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
   
   
   ...WEISS

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Moderate	Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
Moderate	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Moderate	Low

   SEL3
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 313...RESENT
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1230 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          EXTREME WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS
          EASTERN NEW YORK
          VERMONT
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM UNTIL
   900 PM EDT.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH OF GLENS FALLS
   NEW YORK TO 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF BURLINGTON VERMONT.  FOR
   A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 312...
   
   DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WITHIN AN ENHANCED
   CU/TCU FIELD WITHIN THE NEXT 1-2 HRS...AND CONTINUED HEATING OCCURS
   AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  A VERY UNSTABLE
   ENVIRONMENT WITH MUCAPE OF 2000-3000 J/KG AND 30-40 KT DEEP LAYER
   SHEAR WILL PROMOTE SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS WITH
   POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  SOUTHERLY LOW
   LEVEL WINDS OVER THE HUDSON VALLEY AND EAST INTO VT WILL ALSO
   ENHANCE LOW LEVEL SHEAR SUGGESTING THREAT FOR A FEW TORNADOES THIS
   AFTERNOON.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
   
   
   ...WEISS

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Moderate	Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
Moderate	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Moderate	Low

Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

   WOUS64 KWNS 291623
   WOU3
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 313...RESENT
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1230 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012
   
   TORNADO WATCH 313 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE
    FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   MAC003-300100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0313.120529T1630Z-120530T0100Z/
   
   MA 
   .    MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BERKSHIRE            
   
   
   NYC001-019-021-031-033-035-039-041-043-057-083-089-091-093-095-
   113-115-300100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0313.120529T1630Z-120530T0100Z/
   
   NY 
   .    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ALBANY               CLINTON             COLUMBIA            
   ESSEX                FRANKLIN            FULTON              
   GREENE               HAMILTON            HERKIMER            
   MONTGOMERY           RENSSELAER          SARATOGA            
   SCHENECTADY          SCHOHARIE           ST. LAWRENCE        
   WARREN               WASHINGTON          
   
   
   VTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-
   300100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0313.120529T1630Z-120530T0100Z/
   
   VT 
   .    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ADDISON              BENNINGTON          CALEDONIA           
   CHITTENDEN           ESSEX               FRANKLIN            
   GRAND ISLE           LAMOILLE            ORANGE              
   ORLEANS              RUTLAND             WASHINGTON          
   WINDHAM              WINDSOR             
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...ALY...BTV...

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Moderate	Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
Moderate	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Moderate	Low

Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

   SAW3 
   WW 313 TORNADO MA NY VT 291630Z - 300100Z
   AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   40S GFL/GLENS FALLS NY/ - 40NNW BTV/BURLINGTON VT/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /8E ALB - 19N PLB/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
   
   LAT...LON 42757469 45007458 45007233 42757254
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU3.

Watch 313 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 313

VALID 292330Z - 300040Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE PSF TO
15 WSW EEN.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 968

..DIAL..05/29/12

ATTN...WFO...ALY...BTV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 313 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

CTC005-300040-

CT 
.    CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

LITCHFIELD	     
$$


MAC003-300040-

MA 
.    MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BERKSHIRE	     
$$


NYC027-300040-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

DUTCHESS	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 313

VALID 292235Z - 292340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 WSW ALB TO
15 NW EEN.

..DIAL..05/29/12

ATTN...WFO...ALY...BTV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 313 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

CTC005-292340-

CT 
.    CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

LITCHFIELD	     
$$


MAC003-292340-

MA 
.    MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BERKSHIRE	     
$$


NYC021-027-039-111-292340-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

COLUMBIA	     DUTCHESS		 GREENE 	     
ULSTER		     
$$


VTC025-292340-

VT 
.    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

WINDHAM 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 313

VALID 292235Z - 292340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 WSW ALB TO
15 NW EEN.

..DIAL..05/29/12

ATTN...WFO...ALY...BTV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 313 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

CTC005-292340-

CT 
.    CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

LITCHFIELD	     
$$


MAC003-292340-

MA 
.    MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BERKSHIRE	     
$$


NYC021-027-039-111-292340-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

COLUMBIA	     DUTCHESS		 GREENE 	     
ULSTER		     
$$


VTC025-292340-

VT 
.    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

WINDHAM 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 313

VALID 291950Z - 292040Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 962

..HURLBUT..05/29/12

ATTN...WFO...ALY...BTV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 313 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MAC003-292040-

MA 
.    MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BERKSHIRE	     
$$


NYC001-019-021-027-031-033-035-039-041-043-057-083-089-091-093-
095-111-113-115-292040-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALBANY		     CLINTON		 COLUMBIA	     
DUTCHESS	     ESSEX		 FRANKLIN	     
FULTON		     GREENE		 HAMILTON	     
HERKIMER	     MONTGOMERY 	 RENSSELAER	     
ST. LAWRENCE	     SARATOGA		 SCHENECTADY	     
SCHOHARIE	     ULSTER		 WARREN 	     
WASHINGTON	     
$$


VTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-
292040-

VT 
.    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADDISON 	     BENNINGTON 	 CALEDONIA	     
CHITTENDEN	     ESSEX		 FRANKLIN	     
GRAND ISLE	     LAMOILLE		 ORANGE 	     
ORLEANS 	     RUTLAND		 WASHINGTON	     
WINDHAM 	     WINDSOR		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 313

VALID 291830Z - 291940Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 958

..HURLBUT..05/29/12

ATTN...WFO...ALY...BTV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 313 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MAC003-291940-

MA 
.    MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BERKSHIRE	     
$$


NYC001-019-021-031-033-035-039-041-043-057-083-089-091-093-095-
113-115-291940-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALBANY		     CLINTON		 COLUMBIA	     
ESSEX		     FRANKLIN		 FULTON 	     
GREENE		     HAMILTON		 HERKIMER	     
MONTGOMERY	     RENSSELAER 	 ST. LAWRENCE	     
SARATOGA	     SCHENECTADY	 SCHOHARIE	     
WARREN		     WASHINGTON 	 
$$


VTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-
291940-

VT 
.    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADDISON 	     BENNINGTON 	 CALEDONIA	     
CHITTENDEN	     ESSEX		 FRANKLIN	     
GRAND ISLE	     LAMOILLE		 ORANGE 	     
ORLEANS 	     RUTLAND		 WASHINGTON	     
WINDHAM 	     WINDSOR		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Moderate	Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
Moderate	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Moderate	Low

Note: Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes	Mod (30%)
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes	Low (10%)

Wind

Probability of 10 or more severe wind events	Mod (50%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots	Low (20%)

Hail

Probability of 10 or more severe hail events	Mod (50%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches	Low (20%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

High (80%)

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.