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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 259
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
140 AM CDT SUN MAY 1 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING FROM 140 AM UNTIL 900 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF ABILENE TEXAS TO 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SHERMAN
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 257...WW 258...
DISCUSSION...ELEVATED TSTMS WITH A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL EXPECTED TO
INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH LATER THIS MORNING ACROSS WW AREA AS
ASCENT INCREASES DOWNSTREAM FROM ERN NM UPR IMPULSE. DEEP EML ABOVE
FRONTAL SURFACE AND SEASONABLY RICH MOISTURE INFLOW /PW AROUND 1.50
INCHES/ SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED/SUPERCELLS GIVEN 50+ KT WSW
MID LVL FLOW.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 259 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 010640Z - 011400Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20WNW ABI/ABILENE TX/ - 40SE GYI/SHERMAN TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /8WNW ABI - 50ENE DFW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 33330000 34119618 32509618 31720000
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 259 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 259
VALID 011235Z - 011340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E DAL TO
20 S DAL TO 40 N ACT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 680.
..EDWARDS..05/01/11
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 259
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC013-085-095-011340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN LOVE MARSHALL
$$
TXC009-023-049-059-077-083-085-093-097-113-121-133-143-147-181-
207-221-237-251-253-275-337-363-367-397-399-417-425-429-439-441-
447-497-503-011340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COLEMAN
COLLIN COMANCHE COOKE
DALLAS DENTON EASTLAND
ERATH FANNIN GRAYSON
HASKELL HOOD JACK
JOHNSON JONES KNOX
MONTAGUE PALO PINTO PARKER
ROCKWALL RUNNELS SHACKELFORD
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WISE
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 259
VALID 011140Z - 011240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E DAL TO
20 S DAL TO 40 SSE FTW.
..EDWARDS..05/01/11
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 259
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC013-085-095-011240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN LOVE MARSHALL
$$
TXC009-023-049-059-077-083-085-093-097-113-121-133-143-147-181-
207-221-237-251-253-275-337-363-367-397-399-417-425-429-439-441-
447-497-503-011240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COLEMAN
COLLIN COMANCHE COOKE
DALLAS DENTON EASTLAND
ERATH FANNIN GRAYSON
HASKELL HOOD JACK
JOHNSON JONES KNOX
MONTAGUE PALO PINTO PARKER
ROCKWALL RUNNELS SHACKELFORD
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WISE
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 259
VALID 011035Z - 011140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E DAL TO
20 S DAL TO 40 SSE FTW.
..EDWARDS..05/01/11
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 259
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC013-085-095-011140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN LOVE MARSHALL
$$
TXC009-023-049-059-077-083-085-093-097-113-121-133-143-147-181-
207-221-237-251-253-275-337-363-367-397-399-417-425-429-439-441-
447-497-503-011140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COLEMAN
COLLIN COMANCHE COOKE
DALLAS DENTON EASTLAND
ERATH FANNIN GRAYSON
HASKELL HOOD JACK
JOHNSON JONES KNOX
MONTAGUE PALO PINTO PARKER
ROCKWALL RUNNELS SHACKELFORD
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WISE
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 259
VALID 010940Z - 011040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 678.
..EDWARDS..05/01/11
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 259
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC013-085-095-011040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN LOVE MARSHALL
$$
TXC009-023-049-059-077-083-085-093-097-113-121-133-143-147-181-
207-221-237-251-253-275-337-363-367-397-399-417-425-429-439-441-
447-497-503-011040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COLEMAN
COLLIN COMANCHE COOKE
DALLAS DENTON EASTLAND
ERATH FANNIN GRAYSON
HASKELL HOOD JACK
JOHNSON JONES KNOX
MONTAGUE PALO PINTO PARKER
ROCKWALL RUNNELS SHACKELFORD
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WISE
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 259
VALID 010830Z - 010940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 678.
..EDWARDS..05/01/11
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 259
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC013-085-095-010940-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN LOVE MARSHALL
$$
TXC009-023-049-059-077-083-085-093-097-113-121-133-139-143-147-
181-207-221-231-237-251-253-257-275-337-363-367-397-399-417-425-
429-439-441-447-497-503-010940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COLEMAN
COLLIN COMANCHE COOKE
DALLAS DENTON EASTLAND
ELLIS ERATH FANNIN
GRAYSON HASKELL HOOD
HUNT JACK JOHNSON
JONES KAUFMAN KNOX
MONTAGUE PALO PINTO PARKER
ROCKWALL RUNNELS SHACKELFORD
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WISE
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.