Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 151
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT TUE MAY 11 2010
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN OKLAHOMA
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
CHICKASHA OKLAHOMA TO 45 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF ALTUS OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING NEAR RETREATING DRYLINE...WHERE
STRONG HEATING HAS YIELDED EXTREME INSTABILITY. INCREASING VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR THROUGH THE EVENING WILL ENHANCE THE RISK OF VERY LARGE
HAIL AND TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 151 TORNADO OK TX 112050Z - 120300Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
10SE CHK/CHICKASHA OK/ - 45WNW LTS/ALTUS OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM N/S /25SSW OKC - 34NNE CDS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 33909784 33810000 35970000 36089784
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 151 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 151
VALID 120235Z - 120340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW OKC
TO 40 SSW GAG.
..STOPPKOTTE..05/12/10
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 151
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC011-043-067-137-120340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE DEWEY JEFFERSON
STEPHENS
$$
TXC077-120340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 151
VALID 120130Z - 120240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE CHK
TO 30 NNE CDS.
..STOPPKOTTE..05/12/10
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 151
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-011-015-017-039-043-051-067-129-137-149-120240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN CUSTER DEWEY
GRADY JEFFERSON ROGER MILLS
STEPHENS WASHITA
$$
TXC077-120240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 151
VALID 120030Z - 120140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE FSI
TO 15 E CDS.
..STOPPKOTTE..05/12/10
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 151
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-011-015-017-031-039-043-051-055-057-065-067-075-129-137-
149-120140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN COMANCHE CUSTER
DEWEY GRADY GREER
HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON
KIOWA ROGER MILLS STEPHENS
WASHITA
$$
TXC077-120140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 151
VALID 112345Z - 120040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..STOPPKOTTE..05/11/10
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 151
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-011-015-017-031-033-039-043-051-055-057-065-067-075-129-
137-141-149-120040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY GRADY
GREER HARMON JACKSON
JEFFERSON KIOWA ROGER MILLS
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC077-155-197-485-487-120040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY FOARD HARDEMAN
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 151
VALID 112240Z - 112340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..STOPPKOTTE..05/11/10
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 151
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-011-015-017-031-033-039-043-051-055-057-065-067-075-129-
137-141-149-112340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY GRADY
GREER HARMON JACKSON
JEFFERSON KIOWA ROGER MILLS
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC077-155-197-485-487-112340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY FOARD HARDEMAN
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 151
VALID 112135Z - 112240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..STOPPKOTTE..05/11/10
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 151
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-011-015-017-031-033-039-043-051-055-057-065-075-129-141-
149-112240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY GRADY
GREER HARMON JACKSON
KIOWA ROGER MILLS TILLMAN
WASHITA
$$
TXC155-197-485-487-112240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FOARD HARDEMAN WICHITA
WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.